Value bet: Gnistan to win @ 3.10 – our chance 35% vs 32% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultKuPS to win ✓40% · @2.08
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗59% · @1.53
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗76% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 12.34
Gnistan vs KuPS: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Saturday 1 August the Veikkausliiga brings Gnistan against KuPS at Markku.fi Areena. Kick-off: 17:00 WAT. In the table, Gnistan are 5th on 46 points after 32 matches; KuPS are 3rd with 53.
Current form
Gnistan, last 5: WWWLD Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Inter Turku, away. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
KuPS, last 5: LWLWL Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Sabah FA, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Gnistan 1.4 xG, KuPS 1.3 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 54%, GG 59%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Gnistan 35%, draw 25%, KuPS 40%.
GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.53.
Price worth noting: Gnistan to win @3.10 – the bookmaker implies 32%, our ratings say 35%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (76%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Gnistan 1–1 KuPS. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Gnistan35%fair 2.89 · @3.10
Draw25%fair 4.01 · @3.50
KuPS40%fair 2.47 · @2.08
2.76Expected goals
1.41Gnistan xG
1.34KuPS xG
59%Both score
54%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–09%
0–19%
2–19%
1–28%
0–06%
From our goals model: Gnistan 1.4 – 1.3 KuPS expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
KuPS to win✓
40%
2.47
2.08
Double chance
Either team to win✓
75%
1.33
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
59%
1.69
1.53
Draw no bet
KuPS (draw no bet)✓
54%
1.86
–
Asian handicap
KuPS +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
61%
1.64
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
76%
1.31
1.22
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
54%
1.85
1.67
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
67%
1.48
1.44
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
85%
1.17
–
First team to score
Gnistan to score first✗
48%
2.08
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
42%
2.40
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Gnistan / FT Gnistan✗
23%
4.41
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
8%
12.34
–
Recent results
Gnistan – last 6
WWWLDD
26 Jul
@ Inter Turku
2–1
W
18 Jul
@ AC Oulu
2–0
W
11 Jul
vs Mariehamn
4–2
W
4 Jul
@ Lahti
0–1
L
27 Jun
vs VPS
1–1
D
23 Jun
@ FF Jaro
1–1
D
1.7Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
KuPS – last 6
LWLWLW
28 Jul
vs Sabah FA
0–2
L
25 Jul
vs VPS
3–1
W
21 Jul
@ Sabah FA
0–1
L
18 Jul
@ SJK
2–0
W
14 Jul
vs Vardar Skopje
0–2
L
7 Jul
@ Vardar Skopje
2–0
W
1.2Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Gnistan and KuPS.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Gnistan vs KuPS?
On our numbers Gnistan have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 25% and KuPS 40%.
How many goals will there be in Gnistan vs KuPS?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Gnistan vs KuPS?
Our predicted score is Gnistan 1–1 KuPS, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Gnistan vs KuPS?
Gnistan vs KuPS (Veikkausliiga) kicks off on Saturday 1 August 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Markku.fi Areena.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
