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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Gnistan v Turku PS: numbers & prediction

Veikkausliiga · Finland · Markku.fi Areena

Gnistan

WWDLW
1–1
FT
Gnistan 58%Draw 17%Turku PS 25% Expected goals 1.83 – 1.07
64%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Good pick · fair odds 1.56 · bookmaker 1.53 · Won ✓

6/10Rating
1.53Odds
1

Value bet: Gnistan to win @ 1.88 – our chance 58% vs 53% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultGnistan to win ✗58% · @1.88
Double chanceEither team to win ✗83% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓63% · @1.48
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.15

Gnistan vs Turku PS: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Gnistan welcome Turku PS to Markku.fi Areena for a Veikkausliiga fixture on Monday 31 August (17:00 WAT). In the table, Gnistan are 5th on 46 points after 32 matches; Turku PS are 3rd with 32. There are 14 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Gnistan, last 5: WWDLW Their latest outing: 3–2 win over HJK Helsinki, away. 2.0 goals per outing makes them dangerous.

Turku PS, last 5: DWDWL Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Inter Turku, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Gnistan, collecting 2.2 points per game to 1.3 for Turku PS.

Head to head

When they last met (24 Apr 2026) it ended Turku PS 1–1 Gnistan. The last 2 head-to-heads: Gnistan 1 win, Turku PS 0, draws 1. Those games averaged 2.0 goals and saw GG land 1 time.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Gnistan 1.8 xG, Turku PS 1.1 xG – a total near 2.9. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 58%, GG 63%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Gnistan 58%, draw 17%, Turku PS 25%.
  • GG/NG: GG (63%) at 1.48.
  • Price worth noting: Gnistan to win @1.88 – the bookmaker implies 53%, our ratings say 58%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (64%, odds 1.53). Most likely score in line with that pick: Gnistan 1–1 Turku PS. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Gnistan58%fair 1.72 · @1.88
Draw17%fair 6.05 · @3.75
Turku PS25%fair 3.97 · @3.45
2.89Expected goals
1.83Gnistan xG
1.07Turku PS xG
63%Both score
58%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–111%
1–010%
2–110%
2–09%
3–16%
0–16%

From our goals model: Gnistan 1.8 – 1.1 Turku PS expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultGnistan to win ✗58%1.721.88 ▲
Double chanceEither team to win ✗83%1.201.18
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓63%1.591.48
Draw no betGnistan (draw no bet)70%1.43–
Asian handicapTurku PS +1.5 (Asian handicap) ✓69%1.46–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79%1.261.17
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗58%1.731.55
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓64%1.561.53
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓80%1.251.22
First team to scoreGnistan to score first60%1.68–
Half-time resultGnistan ahead at half-time ✗40%2.47–
Half-time / full-timeHT Gnistan / FT Gnistan ✗34%2.92–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10%10.15–

Recent results

Gnistan – last 6

WWDLWW
23 Aug@ HJK Helsinki3–2W
17 Augvs Ilves3–2W
7 Aug@ SJK2–2D
1 Augvs KuPS0–1L
26 Jul@ Inter Turku2–1W
18 Jul@ AC Oulu2–0W
2.0Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Turku PS – last 6

DWDWLL
23 Augvs Inter Turku0–0D
14 Aug@ VPS3–1W
9 Aug@ KuPS1–1D
1 Augvs Mariehamn3–0W
26 Jul@ HJK Helsinki0–1L
20 Julvs Ilves1–3L
1.3Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

24 Apr 2026Turku PS v Gnistan1–1
14 Feb 2026Turku PS v Gnistan0–2
Gnistan vs Turku PS head-to-head page →

Veikkausliiga table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1KuPS221273+1543
2Inter Turku221192+1342
3HJK Helsinki221147+937
4Gnistan221066+736
5AC Oulu221048034
6VPS22967+733
7Lahti22958+732
8Turku PS22877+531
9Ilves227411-325
10SJK224711-819
11FF Jaro223613-2615
12Mariehamn223514-2614

More Veikkausliiga predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Gnistan vs Turku PS?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.53.

Who will win Gnistan vs Turku PS?

On our numbers Gnistan have a 58% chance of winning, the draw 17% and Turku PS 25%.

How many goals will there be in Gnistan vs Turku PS?

We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Gnistan vs Turku PS?

Our predicted score is Gnistan 1–1 Turku PS, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.

When is Gnistan vs Turku PS?

Gnistan vs Turku PS (Veikkausliiga) kicks off on Monday 31 August 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Markku.fi Areena.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.