Ilves 25%Draw 15%HJK Helsinki 60%Expected goals 1.12 – 1.97
61%
Betarazi pick
Under 3.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.63 · bookmaker 1.55 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.55Odds
2
Value bet: HJK Helsinki to win @ 1.88 – our chance 60% vs 53% implied by the price (edge +14%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultHJK Helsinki to win ✓60% · @1.88
Double chanceEither team to win ✓85% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓61% · @1.48
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓81% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✓10% · fair 10.12
Ilves vs HJK Helsinki: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
HJK Helsinki travel to face Ilves on Monday 31 August in the Veikkausliiga, with Tammela Stadium the venue – the ball rolls at 17:00 WAT. In the table, Ilves are 2nd on 38 points after 27 matches; HJK Helsinki are 2nd with 59. There are 21 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Ilves, last 5: LLDWL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to VPS, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
HJK Helsinki, last 5: LWLWD Their latest outing: 2–3 defeat to Gnistan, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Momentum favours HJK Helsinki, collecting 1.2 points per game to 0.7 for Ilves.
Head to head
When they last met (1 Jul 2026) it ended HJK Helsinki 2–1 Ilves.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Ilves 1.1 xG, HJK Helsinki 2.0 xG – a total near 3.1. That is an open game on paper: 60% for three or more goals, 61% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Ilves 25%, draw 15%, HJK Helsinki 60%.
GG/NG: GG (61%) at 1.48.
Price worth noting: HJK Helsinki to win @1.88 – the bookmaker implies 53%, our ratings say 60%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (61%, odds 1.55). Most likely score in line with that pick: Ilves 1–1 HJK Helsinki. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Ilves25%fair 4.07 · @3.45
Draw15%fair 6.67 · @3.70
HJK Helsinki60%fair 1.66 · @1.88
3.10Expected goals
1.12Ilves xG
1.97HJK Helsinki xG
61%Both score
60%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–110%
1–210%
0–19%
0–29%
1–37%
0–36%
From our goals model: Ilves 1.1 – 2.0 HJK Helsinki expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.55.
Who will win Ilves vs HJK Helsinki?
On our numbers Ilves have a 25% chance of winning, the draw 15% and HJK Helsinki 60%.
How many goals will there be in Ilves vs HJK Helsinki?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 60% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Ilves vs HJK Helsinki?
Our predicted score is Ilves 1–1 HJK Helsinki, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Ilves vs HJK Helsinki?
Ilves vs HJK Helsinki (Veikkausliiga) kicks off on Monday 31 August 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Tammela Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
