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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Egersund v Sogndal: numbers & prediction

1. Division · Norway · XL-BYGG Sorvest Arena
3–3
FT

Sogndal

LLLDD
Egersund 61%Draw 16%Sogndal 22% Expected goals 2.30 – 1.31
68%
Betarazi pick

Both teams to score

Good pick · fair odds 1.48 · bookmaker 1.35 · Won ✓

7/10Rating
1.35Odds
1

Value bet: Egersund to win @ 1.91 – our chance 61% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +17%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultEgersund to win ✗61% · @1.91
Double chanceEither team to win ✗84% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓68% · @1.35
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓70% · fair 1.43
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.66

Egersund vs Sogndal: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Egersund welcome Sogndal to XL-BYGG Sorvest Arena for a 1. Division fixture on Sunday 18 October (13:30 WAT). In the table, Egersund are 8th, upper half, on 41 points after 30 matches; Sogndal are 14th (in the drop zone) with 31.

Current form

Egersund, last 5: DWLLW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Moss, away. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 2.2 conceded per game.

Sogndal, last 5: LLLDD Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to ODD Ballklubb, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 4. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.

Momentum favours Egersund, collecting 1.3 points per game to 0.3 for Sogndal.

Head to head

When they last met (27 Jun 2026) it ended Sogndal 4–2 Egersund.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Egersund 2.3 xG, Sogndal 1.3 xG – a total near 3.6. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 70% and GG at 68%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Egersund 61%, draw 16%, Sogndal 22%.
  • GG/NG: GG (68%) at 1.35.
  • Price worth noting: Egersund to win @1.91 – the bookmaker implies 52%, our ratings say 61%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (68%, odds 1.35). Most likely score in line with that pick: Egersund 2–1 Sogndal. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Egersund61%fair 1.63 · @1.91
Draw16%fair 6.09 · @3.90
Sogndal22%fair 4.49 · @3.00
3.61Expected goals
2.30Egersund xG
1.31Sogndal xG
68%Both score
70%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–19%
1–18%
3–17%
2–07%
1–06%
2–26%

From our goals model: Egersund 2.3 – 1.3 Sogndal expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultEgersund to win ✗61%1.631.91 ▲
Double chanceEither team to win ✗84%1.201.22
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓68%1.481.35
Draw no betEgersund (draw no bet)73%1.36–
Asian handicapSogndal +1.5 (Asian handicap) ✓62%1.62–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓88%1.14–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓70%1.43–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗51%1.95–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✗70%1.42–
First team to scoreEgersund to score first62%1.61–
Half-time resultEgersund ahead at half-time ✓45%2.20–
Half-time / full-timeHT Egersund / FT Egersund ✗39%2.58–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%10.66–

Recent results

Egersund – last 6

DWLLWD
14 Oct@ Moss0–0D
11 Octvs hodd3–1W
2 Oct@ Ranheim0–5L
20 Sep@ ODD Ballklubb1–5L
16 Sep@ jerv2–1W
13 Sepvs Kongsvinger1–1D
1.2Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Sogndal – last 6

LLLDDL
14 Octvs ODD Ballklubb0–1L
11 Oct@ Asane1–2L
20 Sep@ Stabaek1–2L
16 Sep@ Sotra1–1D
13 Sepvs Strommen1–1D
5 Sep@ Haugesund0–2L
0.7Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

27 Jun 2026Sogndal v Egersund4–2
Egersund vs Sogndal head-to-head page →

1. Division table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Stromsgodset302064+4666
2Haugesund302127+3565
3Kongsvinger301857+3459
4Stabaek301848+3258
5ODD Ballklubb301479+1249
6Bryne3014412+446
7Ranheim3012513+241
8Egersund3011811-741
9Strommen3011613-1039
10hodd3011613-1039
11Lyn3010416-1534
12Sandnes ULF309615-1433
13Moss309516-1932
14Sogndal308715-1531
15Asane307518-2626
16Raufoss306222-4920

More 1. Division predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Egersund vs Sogndal?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.35.

Who will win Egersund vs Sogndal?

On our numbers Egersund have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 16% and Sogndal 22%.

How many goals will there be in Egersund vs Sogndal?

We expect about 3.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 70% likely and both teams score 68% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Egersund vs Sogndal?

Our predicted score is Egersund 2–1 Sogndal, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.6 goals in total.

When is Egersund vs Sogndal?

Egersund vs Sogndal (1. Division) kicks off on Sunday 18 October 2026 at 13:30 (West Africa Time) at XL-BYGG Sorvest Arena.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.