Value bet: Moss to win @ 2.80 – our chance 39% vs 36% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultLyn to win ✓41% · @2.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✓80% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗70% · @1.36
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✗71% · fair 1.40
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.53
Lyn vs Moss: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Moss travel to face Lyn on Sunday 18 October in the 1. Division, with Bislett Stadium the venue – the ball rolls at 16:00 WAT. In the table, Lyn are 11th, lower half, on 34 points after 30 matches; Moss are 13th (lower half) with 32. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Lyn, last 5: LLLLW Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to Haugesund, away. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 2.3 conceded per game.
Moss, last 5: DWLDW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Egersund, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Lyn 1.9 xG, Moss 1.8 xG – a total near 3.7. That is an open game on paper: 71% for three or more goals, 70% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Lyn 41%, draw 20%, Moss 39%.
GG/NG: GG (70%) at 1.36.
Price worth noting: Moss to win @2.80 – the bookmaker implies 36%, our ratings say 39%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (70%, odds 1.36). Most likely score in line with that pick: Lyn 1–1 Moss. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Lyn41%fair 2.42 · @2.10
Draw20%fair 4.99 · @3.60
Moss39%fair 2.59 · @2.80
3.69Expected goals
1.88Lyn xG
1.81Moss xG
70%Both score
71%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–18%
2–18%
1–28%
2–27%
3–15%
1–05%
From our goals model: Lyn 1.9 – 1.8 Moss expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Lyn to win✓
41%
2.42
2.10
Double chance
Either team to win✓
80%
1.25
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
70%
1.42
1.36
Draw no bet
Lyn (draw no bet)✓
52%
1.94
–
Asian handicap
Moss +1 (Asian handicap)
73%
1.37
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
88%
1.13
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
71%
1.40
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✗
50%
1.99
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
69%
1.45
–
First team to score
Lyn to score first✓
50%
2.02
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
35%
2.85
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Lyn / FT Lyn✗
25%
4.07
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
12.53
–
Recent results
Lyn – last 6
LLLLWW
14 Oct
@ Haugesund
0–3
L
11 Oct
vs Stromsgodset
1–5
L
4 Oct
@ Bryne
0–1
L
20 Sep
vs Ranheim
1–4
L
16 Sep
@ Gamle Oslo
3–1
W
13 Sep
@ hodd
2–0
W
1.2Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Moss – last 6
DWLDWL
14 Oct
vs Egersund
0–0
D
11 Oct
@ Raufoss
2–1
W
5 Oct
vs Kongsvinger
0–2
L
23 Sep
@ Grorud
1–1
D
20 Sep
@ Sandnes ULF
2–1
W
13 Sep
vs Haugesund
1–4
L
1.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Lyn and Moss.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 70% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.36.
Who will win Lyn vs Moss?
On our numbers Lyn have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Moss 39%.
How many goals will there be in Lyn vs Moss?
We expect about 3.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 71% likely and both teams score 70% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Lyn vs Moss?
Our predicted score is Lyn 1–1 Moss, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.7 goals in total.
When is Lyn vs Moss?
Lyn vs Moss (1. Division) kicks off on Sunday 18 October 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Bislett Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
