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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Bærum v Ullern: numbers & prediction

Bærum

LLLLL
2–1
FT

Ullern

LWLWL
Bærum 62%Draw 13%Ullern 25% Expected goals 2.69 – 1.68
80%
Betarazi pick

Over 2.5 goals

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.25 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓

9/10Rating
1.20Odds

Picks by market

ResultBærum to win ✓62% · @1.70
Double chanceEither team to win ✓87% · @1.12
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓59% · fair 1.68
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓80% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓8% · fair 12.99

Bærum vs Ullern: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Saturday 17 October the 3. Division Girone 1 brings Bærum against Ullern. Kick-off: 13:00 WAT. In the table, Bærum are 5th, upper half, on 40 points after 26 matches; Ullern are 12th (in the drop zone) with 29.

Current form

Bærum, last 5: LLLLL Their latest outing: 2–4 defeat to Asker, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 3.3 conceded per game.

Ullern, last 5: LWLWL Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to SF Grei, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 2.8 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Ullern, collecting 1.0 points per game to 0.0 for Bærum.

Head to head

When they last met (6 Apr 2026) it ended Ullern 0–3 Bærum.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Bærum 2.7 xG, Ullern 1.7 xG – a total near 4.4. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 80% and GG at 59%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Bærum 62%, draw 13%, Ullern 25%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (80%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Bærum 2–1 Ullern. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Bærum62%fair 1.62 · @1.70
Draw13%fair 7.49 · @4.50
Ullern25%fair 3.99 · @3.25
4.37Expected goals
2.69Bærum xG
1.68Ullern xG
59%Both score
80%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–18%
3–17%
2–26%
3–26%
1–16%
1–25%

From our goals model: Bærum 2.7 – 1.7 Ullern expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultBærum to win ✓62%1.621.70
Double chanceEither team to win ✓87%1.151.12
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓59%1.68–
Draw no betBærum (draw no bet) ✓71%1.41–
Asian handicapUllern +1.5 (Asian handicap) ✓60%1.66–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓93%1.07–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓80%1.251.20
Over/under 3.5 goalsOver 3.5 goals ✗64%1.57–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓56%1.80–
First team to scoreBærum to score first61%1.64–
Half-time resultBærum ahead at half-time ✗47%2.15–
Half-time / full-timeHT Bærum / FT Bærum ✗39%2.55–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓8%12.99–

Recent results

Bærum – last 6

LLLLLL
10 Oct@ Asker2–4L
4 Octvs IF Ready1–2L
1 Octvs Lillestrom1–5L
26 Sep@ Vålerenga II0–2L
19 Sepvs Union Carl Berner1–2L
13 Sep@ Lokomotiv Oslo2–5L
1.2Scored / game
3.3Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Ullern – last 6

LWLWLL
10 Octvs SF Grei0–2L
3 Oct@ KFUM II3–1W
26 Sep@ Heming0–3L
19 Sepvs Vålerenga II2–1W
12 Sep@ IF Ready3–4L
5 Sepvs Asker2–6L
1.7Scored / game
2.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Head to head

6 Apr 2026Ullern v Bærum0–3
Bærum vs Ullern head-to-head page →

3. Division Girone 1 table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Asker262222+5368
2Heming261655+2953
3Gamle Oslo261439+2545
4IF Ready261367+2345
5Bærum2612410+2040
6Vålerenga II2613112-1240
7Union Carl Berner2612212+138
8Frigg269710-934
9KFUM II2610412-1034
10SF Grei2610115-2331
11Lokomotiv Oslo269314-2430
12Ullern269215-929
13Nordstrand266218-3220
14Konnerud265219-3217

More 3. Division Girone 1 predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Bærum vs Ullern?

Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.

Who will win Bærum vs Ullern?

On our numbers Bærum have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 13% and Ullern 25%.

How many goals will there be in Bærum vs Ullern?

We expect about 4.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 80% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Bærum vs Ullern?

Our predicted score is Bærum 2–1 Ullern, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.4 goals in total.

When is Bærum vs Ullern?

Bærum vs Ullern (3. Division Girone 1) kicks off on Saturday 17 October 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.