Value bet: Heming to win @ 1.85 – our chance 62% vs 54% implied by the price (edge +14%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultHeming to win ✓62% · @1.85
Double chanceEither team to win ✓83% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗70% · @1.25
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✗77% · fair 1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.72
Nordstrand vs Heming: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Nordstrand welcome Heming for a 3. Division Girone 1 fixture on Saturday 17 October (12:00 WAT). In the table, Nordstrand are 13th, in the drop zone, on 20 points after 26 matches; Heming are 2nd (among the top four) with 53. There are 33 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Nordstrand, last 5: LLLWD Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Gamle Oslo, away. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Heming, last 5: DDWWW Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with KFUM II, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. The attack is flying at 3.3 goals per game.
Momentum favours Heming, collecting 1.8 points per game to 0.7 for Nordstrand.
Head to head
When they last met (4 Apr 2026) it ended Heming 3–0 Nordstrand.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Nordstrand 1.5 xG, Heming 2.6 xG – a total near 4.0. That is an open game on paper: 77% for three or more goals, 70% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Nordstrand 22%, draw 17%, Heming 62%.
GG/NG: GG (70%) at 1.25.
Price worth noting: Heming to win @1.85 – the bookmaker implies 54%, our ratings say 62%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (70%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Nordstrand 1–2 Heming. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Nordstrand22%fair 4.56 · @2.90
Draw17%fair 6.06 · @4.00
Heming62%fair 1.62 · @1.85
4.04Expected goals
1.48Nordstrand xG
2.56Heming xG
70%Both score
77%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–29%
1–37%
1–17%
2–26%
0–26%
2–35%
From our goals model: Nordstrand 1.5 – 2.6 Heming expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 70% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Nordstrand vs Heming?
On our numbers Nordstrand have a 22% chance of winning, the draw 17% and Heming 62%.
How many goals will there be in Nordstrand vs Heming?
We expect about 4.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 77% likely and both teams score 70% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Nordstrand vs Heming?
Our predicted score is Nordstrand 1–2 Heming, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.0 goals in total.
When is Nordstrand vs Heming?
Nordstrand vs Heming (3. Division Girone 1) kicks off on Saturday 17 October 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
