Al Sadd vs Al Shamal: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Al Sadd welcome Al Shamal to Jassim Bin Hamad Stadium for a Stars League fixture on Monday 27 April (17:30 WAT). In the table, Al Sadd are 3rd, among the top four, on 18 points after 9 matches; Al Shamal are 6th (upper half) with 12.
Current form
Al Sadd, last 5: WLWWL Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Al-Sailiya, away. 2.2 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
Al Shamal, last 5: LLLWW Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Qatar SC, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Al Sadd 2.4 xG, Al Shamal 1.3 xG – a total near 3.7. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 70% and GG at 64%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Al Sadd 60%, draw 20%, Al Shamal 19%.
Lower-risk option: Al Sadd or draw (81%) at 1.14.
GG/NG: GG (64%) at 1.42.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (70%, odds 1.36). Most likely score in line with that pick: Al Sadd 2–1 Al Shamal. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Al Sadd60%fair 1.65 · @1.59
Draw20%fair 4.89 · @4.35
Al Shamal19%fair 5.23 · @4.33
3.67Expected goals
2.38Al Sadd xG
1.29Al Shamal xG
64%Both score
70%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–19%
1–18%
3–17%
2–07%
1–06%
2–26%
From our goals model: Al Sadd 2.4 – 1.3 Al Shamal expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Al Sadd to win✓
60%
1.65
1.59
Double chance
Al Sadd or draw✓
81%
1.24
1.14
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
64%
1.57
1.42
Draw no bet
Al Sadd (draw no bet)✓
76%
1.32
–
Asian handicap
Al Sadd -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
62%
1.62
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
87%
1.15
1.10
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
70%
1.43
1.36
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
51%
1.96
1.80
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
70%
1.44
1.33
First team to score
Al Sadd to score first✓
63%
1.58
–
Half-time result
Al Sadd ahead at half-time✓
47%
2.14
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Al Sadd / FT Al Sadd✓
40%
2.49
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.75
–
Recent results
Al Sadd – last 5
WLWWL
8 Apr
@ Al-Sailiya
3–1
W
17 Mar
@ Al-Arabi SC
1–2
L
26 Feb
@ Al-Duhail SC
3–1
W
22 Feb
@ Al Wakrah
3–1
W
17 Feb
vs Al-Ittihad FC
1–4
L
2.2Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Al Shamal – last 6
LLLWWW
13 Apr
vs Qatar SC
0–2
L
8 Apr
@ Al Shahaniya
0–2
L
17 Mar
vs Al-Duhail SC
1–3
L
12 Mar
@ Al Wakrah
1–0
W
22 Feb
@ Al-Gharafa
1–0
W
13 Feb
vs Qatar SC
2–1
W
0.8Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Al Sadd and Al Shamal.
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 70% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.36.
Who will win Al Sadd vs Al Shamal?
On our numbers Al Sadd have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Al Shamal 19%.
How many goals will there be in Al Sadd vs Al Shamal?
We expect about 3.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 70% likely and both teams score 64% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Al Sadd vs Al Shamal?
Our predicted score is Al Sadd 2–1 Al Shamal, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.7 goals in total.
When is Al Sadd vs Al Shamal?
Al Sadd vs Al Shamal (Stars League) kicks off on Monday 27 April 2026 at 17:30 (West Africa Time) at Jassim Bin Hamad Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
UMM Salal1