Good pick · fair odds 1.55 · bookmaker 1.45 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.45Odds
Picks by market
ResultUMM Salal to win ✗40% · @2.42
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓64% · @1.45
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓81% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.39
UMM Salal vs Al Ahli Doha: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Monday 27 April the Stars League brings UMM Salal against Al Ahli Doha at Thani bin Jassim Stadium. Kick-off: 15:15 WAT.
Current form
UMM Salal, last 5: LWDDW Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to Al-Rayyan SC, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.2 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Al Ahli Doha, last 5: LWDWD Their latest outing: 1–5 defeat to Al-Nassr, away. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 2.0 conceded per game.
Momentum favours UMM Salal, collecting 1.8 points per game to 1.3 for Al Ahli Doha.
Head to head
When they last met (15 Feb 2026) it ended Al Ahli Doha 2–4 UMM Salal.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give UMM Salal 1.7 xG, Al Ahli Doha 1.5 xG – a total near 3.2. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 61% and GG at 64%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – UMM Salal 40%, draw 25%, Al Ahli Doha 35%.
GG/NG: GG (64%) at 1.45.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (64%, odds 1.45). Most likely score in line with that pick: UMM Salal 1–1 Al Ahli Doha. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
UMM Salal40%fair 2.48 · @2.42
Draw25%fair 4.08 · @3.50
Al Ahli Doha35%fair 2.84 · @2.54
3.20Expected goals
1.69UMM Salal xG
1.51Al Ahli Doha xG
64%Both score
61%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–110%
2–19%
1–28%
1–07%
2–27%
0–16%
From our goals model: UMM Salal 1.7 – 1.5 Al Ahli Doha expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for UMM Salal vs Al Ahli Doha?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.45.
Who will win UMM Salal vs Al Ahli Doha?
On our numbers UMM Salal have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Al Ahli Doha 35%.
How many goals will there be in UMM Salal vs Al Ahli Doha?
We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score 64% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for UMM Salal vs Al Ahli Doha?
Our predicted score is UMM Salal 1–1 Al Ahli Doha, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.
When is UMM Salal vs Al Ahli Doha?
UMM Salal vs Al Ahli Doha (Stars League) kicks off on Monday 27 April 2026 at 15:15 (West Africa Time) at Thani bin Jassim Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
