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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Mornar v Arsenal Tivat: numbers & prediction

First League · Montenegro · Stadion Topolica
Mornar 64%Draw 22%Arsenal Tivat 14% Expected goals 1.82 – 0.70
64%
Betarazi pick

Mornar to win

Good pick · fair odds 1.56 · bookmaker 1.55 · Lost ✗

6/10Rating
1.55Odds

Picks by market

ResultMornar to win ✗64% · @1.55
Double chanceMornar or draw ✗86% · @1.10
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗55% · fair 1.80
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓75% · fair 1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗15% · fair 6.82

Mornar vs Arsenal Tivat: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Mornar welcome Arsenal Tivat to Stadion Topolica for a First League fixture on Saturday 21 February (17:00 WAT). In the table, Mornar are 3rd, among the top four, on 24 points after 15 matches; Arsenal Tivat are 10th (in the drop zone) with 9. There are 15 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Mornar 1.8 xG, Arsenal Tivat 0.7 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 44%, GG 45%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Mornar 64%, draw 22%, Arsenal Tivat 14%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Mornar to win (64%, odds 1.55). Most likely score in line with that pick: Mornar 1–0 Arsenal Tivat. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Mornar64%fair 1.56 · @1.55
Draw22%fair 4.47 · @3.40
Arsenal Tivat14%fair 7.29 · @5.75
2.52Expected goals
1.82Mornar xG
0.70Arsenal Tivat xG
45%Both score
44%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–015%
2–013%
1–110%
2–19%
3–08%
0–08%

From our goals model: Mornar 1.8 – 0.7 Arsenal Tivat expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultMornar to win ✗64%1.561.55
Double chanceMornar or draw ✗86%1.161.10
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✗55%1.80–
Draw no betMornar (draw no bet) ✗82%1.21–
Asian handicapMornar -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✗64%1.55–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓72%1.40–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗56%1.771.60
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓75%1.33–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓89%1.13–
First team to scoreMornar to score first67%1.50–
Half-time resultMornar ahead at half-time ✗45%2.22–
Half-time / full-timeHT Mornar / FT Mornar ✗41%2.46–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗15%6.82–

Recent results

Mornar – last 1

D
14 Feb@ Sutjeska2–2D
2.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5

Arsenal Tivat

No recent results on record.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Mornar and Arsenal Tivat.

Mornar vs Arsenal Tivat head-to-head page →

First League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Otrant-Olympic15834+927
2Buducnost Podgorica15744+425
3Mornar15663+624
4Sutjeska15654+623
5Dečić14635+321
6Bokelj14545-119
7Petrovac14464+218
8Jezero15465-518
9Mladost DG15339-1412
10Arsenal Tivat14167-109

More First League predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Mornar vs Arsenal Tivat?

Our pick is Mornar to win with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.55.

Who will win Mornar vs Arsenal Tivat?

On our numbers Mornar have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Arsenal Tivat 14%.

How many goals will there be in Mornar vs Arsenal Tivat?

We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 45% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Mornar vs Arsenal Tivat?

Our predicted score is Mornar 1–0 Arsenal Tivat, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.

When is Mornar vs Arsenal Tivat?

Mornar vs Arsenal Tivat (First League) kicks off on Saturday 21 February 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Topolica.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.