Value bet: Mornar to win @ 2.05 – our chance 53% vs 49% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultMornar to win ✓53% · @2.05
Double chanceMornar or draw ✓77% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗53% · @1.85
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · fair 1.26
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.05
Mornar vs Mladost DG: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
17:00 WAT, Sunday 1 March: Mornar v Mladost DG in the First League, played at Stadion Topolica. In the table, Mornar are 3rd, among the top four, on 24 points after 15 matches; Mladost DG are 9th (in the drop zone) with 12. There are 12 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Mornar, last 3: DLD Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Dečić, away. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Mladost DG, last 3: WDD Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Jedinstvo, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Mladost DG, collecting 1.7 points per game to 0.7 for Mornar.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Mornar 1.9 xG, Mladost DG 1.0 xG – a total near 2.9. That is an open game on paper: 56% for three or more goals, 53% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Mornar 53%, draw 25%, Mladost DG 23%.
Lower-risk option: Mornar or draw (77%) at 1.25.
GG/NG: GG (53%) at 1.85.
Price worth noting: Mornar to win @2.05 – the bookmaker implies 49%, our ratings say 53%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Mornar or draw (77%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Mornar 1–1 Mladost DG. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Mornar53%fair 1.90 · @2.05
Draw25%fair 4.06 · @2.80
Mladost DG23%fair 4.39 · @3.40
2.94Expected goals
1.93Mornar xG
1.00Mladost DG xG
53%Both score
56%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–110%
1–010%
2–110%
2–010%
3–16%
3–06%
From our goals model: Mornar 1.9 – 1.0 Mladost DG expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Mornar to win✓
53%
1.90
2.05 ▲
Double chance
Mornar or draw✓
77%
1.29
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
53%
1.90
1.85
Draw no bet
Mornar (draw no bet)✓
70%
1.43
–
Asian handicap
Mladost DG +1.5 (Asian handicap)✗
65%
1.54
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
79%
1.26
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
56%
1.78
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
66%
1.51
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
83%
1.21
–
First team to score
Mornar to score first✓
62%
1.60
–
Half-time result
Mornar ahead at half-time✗
43%
2.32
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Mornar / FT Mornar✗
37%
2.68
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.05
–
Recent results
Mornar – last 3
DLD
25 Feb
@ Dečić
0–0
D
21 Feb
vs Arsenal Tivat
1–2
L
14 Feb
@ Sutjeska
2–2
D
1.0Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Mladost DG – last 3
WDD
25 Feb
vs Jedinstvo
1–0
W
21 Feb
@ Bokelj
0–0
D
14 Feb
vs Grbalj
1–1
D
0.7Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Mornar and Mladost DG.
Our pick is Mornar or draw with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Mornar vs Mladost DG?
On our numbers Mornar have a 53% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Mladost DG 23%.
How many goals will there be in Mornar vs Mladost DG?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Mornar vs Mladost DG?
Our predicted score is Mornar 1–1 Mladost DG, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Mornar vs Mladost DG?
Mornar vs Mladost DG (First League) kicks off on Sunday 1 March 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Topolica.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Jedinstvo4