Arsenal Tivat 26%Draw 27%Mornar 48%Expected goals 0.95 – 1.52
74%
Betarazi pick
Mornar or draw
Strong pick · fair odds 1.35 · bookmaker 1.30
8/10Rating
1.30Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.00 – our chance 55% vs 50% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk.
Picks by market
ResultMornar to win48% · @2.15
Double chanceMornar or draw74% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score55% · @2.00
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals76% · fair 1.31
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–29% · fair 10.76
Arsenal Tivat vs Mornar: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Mornar travel to face Arsenal Tivat on Sunday 12 April in the First League, with Stadion u Parku the venue – the ball rolls at 14:00 WAT. In the table, Arsenal Tivat are 10th, in the drop zone, on 9 points after 14 matches; Mornar are 3rd (among the top four) with 24. There are 15 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Arsenal Tivat, last 5: WWLLW Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Jedinstvo, away. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.0 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Mornar, last 5: WWWWD Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Sutjeska, at home. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 0.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Head to head
When they last met (21 Feb 2026) it ended Mornar 1–2 Arsenal Tivat.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Arsenal Tivat 1.0 xG, Mornar 1.5 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 45%, GG 55%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Arsenal Tivat 26%, draw 27%, Mornar 48%.
Lower-risk option: Mornar or draw (74%) at 1.30.
GG/NG: GG (55%) at 2.00.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.00 – the bookmaker implies 50%, our ratings say 55%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Mornar or draw (74%, odds 1.30). Most likely score in line with that pick: Arsenal Tivat 0–1 Mornar. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Arsenal Tivat26%fair 3.88 · @3.20
Draw27%fair 3.75 · @2.88
Mornar48%fair 2.10 · @2.15
2.48Expected goals
0.95Arsenal Tivat xG
1.52Mornar xG
55%Both score
45%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–113%
1–112%
0–210%
1–29%
0–08%
1–08%
From our goals model: Arsenal Tivat 1.0 – 1.5 Mornar expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Arsenal Tivat vs Mornar?
Our pick is Mornar or draw with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Arsenal Tivat vs Mornar?
On our numbers Arsenal Tivat have a 26% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Mornar 48%.
How many goals will there be in Arsenal Tivat vs Mornar?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Arsenal Tivat vs Mornar?
Our predicted score is Arsenal Tivat 0–1 Mornar, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Arsenal Tivat vs Mornar?
Arsenal Tivat vs Mornar (First League) kicks off on Sunday 12 April 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadion u Parku.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Jedinstvo0