Very strong pick · fair odds 1.25 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.95 – our chance 58% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +14%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultMornar to win ✓55% · @1.75
Double chanceMornar or draw ✓80% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓58% · @1.95
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77% · fair 1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✓10% · fair 10.16
Mladost DG vs Mornar: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Mladost DG welcome Mornar to DG Arena for a First League fixture on Sunday 26 April (13:00 WAT). In the table, Mladost DG are 9th, in the drop zone, on 12 points after 15 matches; Mornar are 3rd (among the top four) with 24. There are 12 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Mladost DG, last 5: WWLLW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Dečić, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Mornar, last 5: WWWWW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Jezero, at home. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 0.3 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Mornar, collecting 2.7 points per game to 1.7 for Mladost DG.
Head to head
When they last met (1 Mar 2026) it ended Mornar 3–0 Mladost DG.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Mladost DG 1.0 xG, Mornar 1.8 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 53%, GG 58%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Mladost DG 20%, draw 25%, Mornar 55%.
Lower-risk option: Mornar or draw (80%) at 1.20.
GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.95.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @1.95 – the bookmaker implies 51%, our ratings say 58%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Mornar or draw (80%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Mladost DG 1–1 Mornar. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Mladost DG20%fair 4.97 · @4.00
Draw25%fair 3.94 · @3.10
Mornar55%fair 1.83 · @1.75
2.81Expected goals
1.01Mladost DG xG
1.79Mornar xG
58%Both score
53%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
0–111%
1–210%
0–210%
1–06%
0–06%
From our goals model: Mladost DG 1.0 – 1.8 Mornar expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Mornar or draw with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Mladost DG vs Mornar?
On our numbers Mladost DG have a 20% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Mornar 55%.
How many goals will there be in Mladost DG vs Mornar?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Mladost DG vs Mornar?
Our predicted score is Mladost DG 1–1 Mornar, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Mladost DG vs Mornar?
Mladost DG vs Mornar (First League) kicks off on Sunday 26 April 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time) at DG Arena.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Jedinstvo