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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Jezero v Mornar: numbers & prediction

First League · Montenegro · Stadion Pod Racinom

Jezero

LLDLL
0–2
FT

Mornar

DWWWW
Jezero 32%Draw 26%Mornar 43% Expected goals 1.22 – 1.49
56%
Betarazi pick

Both teams to score

Fair pick · fair odds 1.80 · bookmaker 1.95 · Lost ✗

4/10Rating
1.95Odds

Picks by market

ResultMornar to win ✓43% · @2.40
Double chanceEither team to win ✓74% · @1.33
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗56% · @1.95
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75% · fair 1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.09

Jezero vs Mornar: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Sunday 24 May the First League brings Jezero against Mornar at Stadion Pod Racinom. Kick-off: 19:00 WAT. In the table, Jezero are 8th, in the drop zone, on 18 points after 15 matches; Mornar are 3rd (among the top four) with 24.

Current form

Jezero, last 5: LLDLL Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Jedinstvo, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.

Mornar, last 5: DWWWW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Petrovac, at home. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 0.7 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Mornar, collecting 2.7 points per game to 0.2 for Jezero.

Head to head

When they last met (6 May 2026) it ended Jezero 1–2 Mornar. The last 2 head-to-heads: Jezero 0 wins, Mornar 2, draws 0. Those games averaged 2.0 goals and saw GG land 1 time.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Jezero 1.2 xG, Mornar 1.5 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 51%, GG 56%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Jezero 32%, draw 26%, Mornar 43%.
  • GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.95.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (56%, odds 1.95 – longer than our fair 1.80, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Jezero 1–1 Mornar. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Jezero32%fair 3.16 · @2.62
Draw26%fair 3.89 · @3.00
Mornar43%fair 2.34 · @2.40
2.71Expected goals
1.22Jezero xG
1.49Mornar xG
56%Both score
51%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–112%
0–110%
1–29%
1–08%
0–27%
2–17%

From our goals model: Jezero 1.2 – 1.5 Mornar expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultMornar to win ✓43%2.342.40
Double chanceEither team to win ✓74%1.351.33
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗56%1.801.95 ▲
Draw no betMornar (draw no bet) ✓57%1.74–
Asian handicapJezero +1 (Asian handicap) ✗73%1.38–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75%1.33–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗51%1.97–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓71%1.40–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓86%1.16–
First team to scoreMornar to score first ✓51%1.95–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗42%2.38–
Half-time / full-timeHT Mornar / FT Mornar ✓26%3.89–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9%11.09–

Recent results

Jezero – last 6

LLDLLL
20 May@ Jedinstvo0–2L
6 Mayvs Mornar1–2L
26 Apr@ Sutjeska1–1D
22 Apr@ Mornar0–1L
8 Apr@ Buducnost Podgorica0–2L
15 Mar@ Mladost DG1–3L
0.5Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Mornar – last 6

DWWWWW
20 Mayvs Petrovac1–1D
6 May@ Jezero2–1W
26 Apr@ Mladost DG2–1W
22 Aprvs Jezero1–0W
8 Aprvs Sutjeska2–1W
15 Marvs Buducnost Podgorica3–0W
1.8Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

6 May 2026Jezero v Mornar1–2
22 Apr 2026Mornar v Jezero1–0
Jezero vs Mornar head-to-head page →

First League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Otrant-Olympic15834+927
2Buducnost Podgorica15744+425
3Mornar15663+624
4Sutjeska15654+623
5Dečić14635+321
6Bokelj14545-119
7Petrovac14464+218
8Jezero15465-518
9Mladost DG15339-1412
10Arsenal Tivat14167-109

More First League predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Jezero vs Mornar?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 56% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.95.

Who will win Jezero vs Mornar?

On our numbers Jezero have a 32% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Mornar 43%.

How many goals will there be in Jezero vs Mornar?

We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Jezero vs Mornar?

Our predicted score is Jezero 1–1 Mornar, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.

When is Jezero vs Mornar?

Jezero vs Mornar (First League) kicks off on Sunday 24 May 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Pod Racinom.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.