San Martin Tucuman v Deportivo Maipu Prediction & Expected Goals (2 Mar) – Odds, Stats, Pick

Picks by market

ResultSan Martin Tucuman to win43% · @2.10

Double chanceSan Martin Tucuman or draw73% · @1.17

Both teams scoreBoth teams to score50% · @2.25

GoalsUnder 2.5 goals69% · @1.36

Correct scoreCorrect score 2–17% · fair 13.64

San Martin Tucuman vs Deportivo Maipu: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

00:30 WAT, Monday 2 March: San Martin Tucuman v Deportivo Maipu in the Primera Nacional, played at Estadio La Ciudadela. In the table, San Martin Tucuman are 10th, lower half, on 47 points after 36 matches; Deportivo Maipu are 6th (upper half) with 52.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give San Martin Tucuman 1.1 xG, Deportivo Maipu 0.8 xG – a total near 1.9. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 69%.

Markets worth a look

1X2 according to our numbers – San Martin Tucuman 43%, draw 30%, Deportivo Maipu 27%.
Lower-risk option: San Martin Tucuman or draw (73%) at 1.17.
GG/NG: GG (50%) at 2.25.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.25 – the bookmaker implies 44%, our ratings say 50%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (69%, odds 1.36). Most likely score in line with that pick: San Martin Tucuman 1–0 Deportivo Maipu. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

San Martin Tucuman43%fair 2.32 · @2.10

Draw30%fair 3.28 · @2.70

Deportivo Maipu27%fair 3.77 · @3.95

1.93Expected goals

1.11San Martin Tucuman xG

0.82Deportivo Maipu xG

50%Both score

31%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–016%

0–015%

1–113%

0–112%

2–09%

2–17%

From our goals model: San Martin Tucuman 1.1 – 0.8 Deportivo Maipu expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Team ratings (Betarazi)

	San Martin Tucuman	Deportivo Maipu
Attack vs Primera Nacional average	+14%	+0%
Goals conceded vs average	+11%	-18%
Our expected goals here	1.15	0.87

San Martin Tucuman

Deportivo Maipu

Attack vs Primera Nacional average

+14%

+0%

Goals conceded vs average

+11%

-18%

Our expected goals here

1.15

0.87

Our own ratings from every Primera Nacional result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	San Martin Tucuman to win	43%	2.32	2.10
Double chance	San Martin Tucuman or draw	73%	1.36	1.17
Both teams to score	Both teams to score	50%	1.99	2.25 ▲
Draw no bet	San Martin Tucuman (draw no bet)	62%	1.62	–
Asian handicap	Deportivo Maipu +1 (Asian handicap)	77%	1.30	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals	57%	1.74	1.62
Over/under 2.5 goals	Under 2.5 goals	69%	1.45	1.36
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals	87%	1.15	–
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals	95%	1.05	–
First team to score	San Martin Tucuman to score first	49%	2.03	–
Half-time result	Level at half-time	51%	1.97	–
Half-time / full-time	HT San Martin Tucuman / FT San Martin Tucuman	24%	4.19	–
Correct score	Correct score 2–1	7%	13.64	–

Market

Most likely

Chance

Fair odds

Bookmaker

Match result

San Martin Tucuman to win

43%

2.32

2.10

Double chance

San Martin Tucuman or draw

73%

1.36

1.17

Both teams to score

Both teams to score

50%

1.99

2.25 ▲

Draw no bet

San Martin Tucuman (draw no bet)

62%

1.62

–

Asian handicap

Deportivo Maipu +1 (Asian handicap)

77%

1.30

–

Over/under 1.5 goals

Over 1.5 goals

57%

1.74

1.62

Over/under 2.5 goals

Under 2.5 goals

69%

1.45

1.36

Over/under 3.5 goals

Under 3.5 goals

87%

1.15

–

Over/under 4.5 goals

Under 4.5 goals

95%

1.05

–

First team to score

San Martin Tucuman to score first

49%

2.03

–

Half-time result

Level at half-time

51%

1.97

–

Half-time / full-time

HT San Martin Tucuman / FT San Martin Tucuman

24%

4.19

–

Correct score

Correct score 2–1

13.64

–

Recent results

Head to head

Primera Nacional table

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Tristan Suarez	36	16	16	4	+18	64
2	Atlanta	36	19	5	12	+8	62
3	Temperley	36	16	13	7	+12	61
4	Gimnasia Jujuy	36	16	10	10	+4	58
5	Midland	36	15	10	11	+14	55
6	Deportivo Maipu	36	14	10	12	+9	52
7	Colegiales	36	14	10	12	+4	52
8	Gimnasia Y Tiro	36	14	10	12	+2	52
9	San Martin S.J.	36	13	12	11	+6	51
10	San Martin Tucuman	36	11	14	11	+2	47
11	Atletico DE Rafaela	36	12	11	13	-6	47
12	Agropecuario	36	12	10	14	-8	46
13	Quilmes	36	12	9	15	+3	45
14	Chacarita Juniors	36	12	6	18	-6	42
15	Almagro	36	11	9	16	-11	42
16	Patronato	36	7	17	12	-6	38
17	Nueva Chicago	36	9	10	17	-11	37
18	Club Atlético Güemes	36	6	9	21	-34	27

Team

Pts

+18

+12

+14

-6

-8

-6

-11

-6

-11

-34

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for San Martin Tucuman vs Deportivo Maipu?

Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 69% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.36.

Who will win San Martin Tucuman vs Deportivo Maipu?

On our numbers San Martin Tucuman have a 43% chance of winning, the draw 30% and Deportivo Maipu 27%.

How many goals will there be in San Martin Tucuman vs Deportivo Maipu?

We expect about 1.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 31% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for San Martin Tucuman vs Deportivo Maipu?

Our predicted score is San Martin Tucuman 1–0 Deportivo Maipu, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.9 goals in total.

When is San Martin Tucuman vs Deportivo Maipu?

San Martin Tucuman vs Deportivo Maipu (Primera Nacional) kicks off on Monday 2 March 2026 at 00:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio La Ciudadela.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

San Martin Tucuman v Deportivo Maipu: numbers & prediction