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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Tristan Suarez v San Martin S.J.: numbers & prediction

Primera Nacional · Argentina · Estadio 20 de Octubre
Tristan Suarez 43%Draw 32%San Martin S.J. 24% Expected goals 1.05 – 0.54
74%
Betarazi pick

Under 2.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.36 · bookmaker 1.36 · Lost ✗

8/10Rating
1.36Odds

Picks by market

ResultTristan Suarez to win ✓43% · @2.38
Double chanceTristan Suarez or draw ✓76% · @1.20
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗56% · @1.55
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗74% · @1.36
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗21% · fair 4.66

Tristan Suarez vs San Martin S.J.: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

San Martin S.J. travel to face Tristan Suarez on Monday 2 March in the Primera Nacional, with Estadio 20 de Octubre the venue – the ball rolls at 00:30 WAT. In the table, Tristan Suarez are 1st, leading the league, on 64 points after 36 matches; San Martin S.J. are 9th (upper half) with 51. There are 13 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

San Martin S.J., last 3: WWD Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Deportivo Madryn, at home. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 0.7 conceded per game.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Tristan Suarez 1.0 xG, San Martin S.J. 0.5 xG – a total near 1.6. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 74% and a clean sheet for one side more likely than not.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Tristan Suarez 43%, draw 32%, San Martin S.J. 24%.
  • Lower-risk option: Tristan Suarez or draw (76%) at 1.20.
  • GG/NG: NG (56%) at 1.55.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (74%, odds 1.36). Most likely score in line with that pick: Tristan Suarez 1–0 San Martin S.J.. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Tristan Suarez43%fair 2.30 · @2.38
Draw32%fair 3.09 · @2.55
San Martin S.J.24%fair 4.13 · @3.50
1.59Expected goals
1.05Tristan Suarez xG
0.54San Martin S.J. xG
44%Both score
26%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–021%
0–020%
1–112%
2–011%
0–111%
2–16%

From our goals model: Tristan Suarez 1.0 – 0.5 San Martin S.J. expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Team ratings (Betarazi)

Tristan SuarezSan Martin S.J.
Attack vs Primera Nacional average-10%+24%
Goals conceded vs average-59%+5%
Our expected goals here1.150.40

Our own ratings from every Primera Nacional result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultTristan Suarez to win ✓43%2.302.38
Double chanceTristan Suarez or draw ✓76%1.321.20
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✗56%1.791.55
Draw no betTristan Suarez (draw no bet) ✓64%1.56–
Asian handicapSan Martin S.J. +1 (Asian handicap)73%1.37–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓52%1.911.62
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗74%1.361.36
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓92%1.08–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓98%1.02–
First team to scoreTristan Suarez to score first53%1.90–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓55%1.81–
Half-time / full-timeHT Draw / FT Draw ✗27%3.71–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗21%4.66–

Recent results

Tristan Suarez

No recent results on record.

San Martin S.J. – last 3

WWD
25 Febvs Deportivo Madryn2–0W
22 Febvs Club Atlético Güemes2–1W
15 Feb@ Chacarita Juniors1–1D
1.7Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Tristan Suarez and San Martin S.J..

Tristan Suarez vs San Martin S.J. head-to-head page →

Primera Nacional table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Tristan Suarez3616164+1864
2Atlanta3619512+862
3Temperley3616137+1261
4Gimnasia Jujuy36161010+458
5Midland36151011+1455
6Deportivo Maipu36141012+952
7Colegiales36141012+452
8Gimnasia Y Tiro36141012+252
9San Martin S.J.36131211+651
10San Martin Tucuman36111411+247
11Atletico DE Rafaela36121113-647
12Agropecuario36121014-846
13Quilmes3612915+345
14Chacarita Juniors3612618-642
15Almagro3611916-1142
16Patronato3671712-638
17Nueva Chicago3691017-1137
18Club Atlético Güemes366921-3427

More Primera Nacional predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Tristan Suarez vs San Martin S.J.?

Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.36.

Who will win Tristan Suarez vs San Martin S.J.?

On our numbers Tristan Suarez have a 43% chance of winning, the draw 32% and San Martin S.J. 24%.

How many goals will there be in Tristan Suarez vs San Martin S.J.?

We expect about 1.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 26% likely and both teams score 44% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Tristan Suarez vs San Martin S.J.?

Our predicted score is Tristan Suarez 1–0 San Martin S.J., the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.6 goals in total.

When is Tristan Suarez vs San Martin S.J.?

Tristan Suarez vs San Martin S.J. (Primera Nacional) kicks off on Monday 2 March 2026 at 00:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio 20 de Octubre.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.