Value bet: Deportivo Madryn to win @ 2.35 – our chance 48% vs 43% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultDeportivo Madryn to win ✗48% · @2.35
Double chanceDeportivo Madryn or draw ✓76% · @1.22
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗52% · @1.48
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓83% · fair 1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗17% · fair 6.05
Deportivo Madryn vs San Martin Tucuman: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
San Martin Tucuman travel to face Deportivo Madryn on Sunday 29 March in the Primera Nacional, with Estadio Abel Sastre the venue – the ball rolls at 20:00 WAT. In the table, Deportivo Madryn are 4th, among the top four, on 60 points after 36 matches; San Martin Tucuman are 10th (lower half) with 47. There are 13 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Deportivo Madryn 1.4 xG, San Martin Tucuman 0.7 xG – a total near 2.1. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 68%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Deportivo Madryn 48%, draw 28%, San Martin Tucuman 24%.
Lower-risk option: Deportivo Madryn or draw (76%) at 1.22.
GG/NG: NG (52%) at 1.48.
Price worth noting: Deportivo Madryn to win @2.35 – the bookmaker implies 43%, our ratings say 48%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Deportivo Madryn or draw (76%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Deportivo Madryn 1–0 San Martin Tucuman. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Deportivo Madryn48%fair 2.10 · @2.35
Draw28%fair 3.60 · @2.62
San Martin Tucuman24%fair 4.08 · @3.40
2.13Expected goals
1.39Deportivo Madryn xG
0.74San Martin Tucuman xG
48%Both score
32%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–017%
1–112%
0–012%
2–011%
0–19%
2–18%
From our goals model: Deportivo Madryn 1.4 – 0.7 San Martin Tucuman expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Deportivo Madryn
San Martin Tucuman
Attack vs Primera Nacional average
+35%
+14%
Goals conceded vs average
-18%
+11%
Our expected goals here
1.84
0.73
Our own ratings from every Primera Nacional result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Deportivo Madryn to win✗
48%
2.10
2.35 ▲
Double chance
Deportivo Madryn or draw✓
76%
1.32
1.22
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
52%
1.91
1.48
Draw no bet
Deportivo Madryn (draw no bet)
66%
1.51
–
Asian handicap
San Martin Tucuman +1 (Asian handicap)✓
65%
1.54
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
58%
1.72
1.73
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
68%
1.48
1.30
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
83%
1.20
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
94%
1.07
–
First team to score
Deportivo Madryn to score first
57%
1.74
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
47%
2.11
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Deportivo Madryn / FT Deportivo Madryn✗
31%
3.23
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
17%
6.05
–
Recent results
Deportivo Madryn – last 2
LL
25 Feb
@ San Martin S.J.
0–2
L
15 Feb
@ Colon Santa Fe
1–2
L
0.5Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
San Martin Tucuman – last 2
DD
21 Mar
@ San Martin S.J.
1–1
D
15 Feb
vs Patronato
0–0
D
0.5Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Deportivo Madryn and San Martin Tucuman.
What is the prediction for Deportivo Madryn vs San Martin Tucuman?
Our pick is Deportivo Madryn or draw with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Deportivo Madryn vs San Martin Tucuman?
On our numbers Deportivo Madryn have a 48% chance of winning, the draw 28% and San Martin Tucuman 24%.
How many goals will there be in Deportivo Madryn vs San Martin Tucuman?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 32% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Deportivo Madryn vs San Martin Tucuman?
Our predicted score is Deportivo Madryn 1–0 San Martin Tucuman, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is Deportivo Madryn vs San Martin Tucuman?
Deportivo Madryn vs San Martin Tucuman (Primera Nacional) kicks off on Sunday 29 March 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Abel Sastre.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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