Value bet: Colon Santa Fe to win @ 3.85 – our chance 31% vs 26% implied by the price (edge +21%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultPatronato to win ✗36% · @2.20
Double chancePatronato or draw ✗69% · @1.18
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓53% · @1.55
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓71% · @1.36
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗15% · fair 6.87
Patronato vs Colon Santa Fe: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Colon Santa Fe travel to face Patronato on Sunday 29 March in the Primera Nacional – the ball rolls at 20:00 WAT. In the table, Patronato are 16th, in the drop zone, on 38 points after 36 matches; Colon Santa Fe are 5th (upper half) with 60. There are 22 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Patronato, last 4: LDLD Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to Quilmes, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.3 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.
Colon Santa Fe, last 4: WDDW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Acassuso, at home. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 0.5 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Colon Santa Fe, collecting 2.0 points per game to 0.5 for Patronato.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Patronato 0.9 xG, Colon Santa Fe 0.9 xG – a total near 1.8. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 71%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Patronato 36%, draw 32%, Colon Santa Fe 31%.
Lower-risk option: Patronato or draw (69%) at 1.18.
GG/NG: NG (53%) at 1.55.
Price worth noting: Colon Santa Fe to win @3.85 – the bookmaker implies 26%, our ratings say 31%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (71%, odds 1.36). Most likely score in line with that pick: Patronato 0–0 Colon Santa Fe. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Patronato36%fair 2.75 · @2.20
Draw32%fair 3.09 · @2.60
Colon Santa Fe31%fair 3.19 · @3.85
1.82Expected goals
0.89Patronato xG
0.92Colon Santa Fe xG
47%Both score
29%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–016%
0–115%
1–015%
1–113%
0–27%
2–07%
From our goals model: Patronato 0.9 – 0.9 Colon Santa Fe expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Patronato
Colon Santa Fe
Attack vs Primera Nacional average
-15%
+22%
Goals conceded vs average
+0%
-27%
Our expected goals here
0.76
0.95
Our own ratings from every Primera Nacional result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Patronato to win✗
36%
2.75
2.20
Double chance
Patronato or draw✗
69%
1.46
1.18
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
53%
1.89
1.55
Draw no bet
Patronato (draw no bet)✗
54%
1.86
–
Asian handicap
Patronato +0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
66%
1.52
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
56%
1.79
1.62
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
71%
1.42
1.36
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
89%
1.13
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
96%
1.04
–
First team to score
Colon Santa Fe to score first✓
42%
2.35
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
52%
1.91
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✗
24%
4.13
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
15%
6.87
–
Recent results
Patronato – last 4
LDLD
15 Mar
@ Quilmes
0–3
L
3 Mar
@ Atlanta
0–0
D
22 Feb
vs Gimnasia Y Tiro
1–2
L
15 Feb
@ San Martin Tucuman
0–0
D
0.3Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
25%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Colon Santa Fe – last 4
WDDW
15 Mar
vs Acassuso
1–0
W
1 Mar
vs Ferro Carril Oeste
1–1
D
22 Feb
@ Central Norte
0–0
D
15 Feb
vs Deportivo Madryn
2–1
W
1.0Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
25%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Patronato and Colon Santa Fe.
What is the prediction for Patronato vs Colon Santa Fe?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 71% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.36.
Who will win Patronato vs Colon Santa Fe?
On our numbers Patronato have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 32% and Colon Santa Fe 31%.
How many goals will there be in Patronato vs Colon Santa Fe?
We expect about 1.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 29% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Patronato vs Colon Santa Fe?
Our predicted score is Patronato 0–0 Colon Santa Fe, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.8 goals in total.
When is Patronato vs Colon Santa Fe?
Patronato vs Colon Santa Fe (Primera Nacional) kicks off on Sunday 29 March 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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