Double chanceFerro Carril Oeste or draw ✓83% · @1.12
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗56% · @1.44
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗71% · @1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗20% · fair 4.94
Ferro Carril Oeste vs Defensores De Belgrano: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Ferro Carril Oeste welcome Defensores De Belgrano to Estadio Arquitecto Ricardo Etcheverry for a Primera Nacional fixture on Monday 11 May (23:00 WAT). In the table, Ferro Carril Oeste are 2nd, among the top four, on 66 points after 36 matches; Defensores De Belgrano are 15th (lower half) with 39. There are 27 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Ferro Carril Oeste, last 3: LLD Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Almirante Brown, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.3 goals a game.
Defensores De Belgrano, last 4: LWDD Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to Racing Cordoba, away. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Defensores De Belgrano, collecting 1.3 points per game to 0.3 for Ferro Carril Oeste.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Ferro Carril Oeste 1.2 xG, Defensores De Belgrano 0.6 xG – a total near 1.8. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 71% and a clean sheet for one side more likely than not. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Ferro Carril Oeste 52%, draw 31%, Defensores De Belgrano 17%.
GG/NG: NG (56%) at 1.44.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (71%, odds 1.33). Most likely score in line with that pick: Ferro Carril Oeste 1–0 Defensores De Belgrano. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Ferro Carril Oeste52%fair 1.93 · @1.95
Draw31%fair 3.24 · @2.70
Defensores De Belgrano17%fair 5.75 · @4.60
1.81Expected goals
1.24Ferro Carril Oeste xG
0.57Defensores De Belgrano xG
44%Both score
29%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–020%
0–016%
2–013%
1–112%
0–19%
2–17%
From our goals model: Ferro Carril Oeste 1.2 – 0.6 Defensores De Belgrano expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Ferro Carril Oeste
Defensores De Belgrano
Attack vs Primera Nacional average
-7%
-29%
Goals conceded vs average
-5%
+5%
Our expected goals here
1.21
0.53
Our own ratings from every Primera Nacional result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Ferro Carril Oeste to win✓
52%
1.93
1.95
Double chance
Ferro Carril Oeste or draw✓
83%
1.21
1.12
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
56%
1.77
1.44
Draw no bet
Ferro Carril Oeste (draw no bet)✓
75%
1.34
–
Asian handicap
Defensores De Belgrano +1 (Asian handicap)
66%
1.52
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
54%
1.84
1.70
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
71%
1.40
1.33
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
89%
1.12
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
96%
1.04
–
First team to score
Ferro Carril Oeste to score first
57%
1.75
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
51%
1.94
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Ferro Carril Oeste / FT Ferro Carril Oeste✗
31%
3.26
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
20%
4.94
–
Recent results
Ferro Carril Oeste – last 3
LLD
28 Apr
vs Almirante Brown
0–1
L
21 Mar
vs Los Andes
0–2
L
1 Mar
@ Colon Santa Fe
1–1
D
0.3Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Defensores De Belgrano – last 4
LWDD
20 Apr
@ Racing Cordoba
0–3
L
5 Apr
@ Almirante Brown
2–0
W
30 Mar
vs Atletico DE Rafaela
1–1
D
22 Feb
vs Godoy Cruz
1–1
D
1.0Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
25%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Ferro Carril Oeste and Defensores De Belgrano.
What is the prediction for Ferro Carril Oeste vs Defensores De Belgrano?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 71% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.
Who will win Ferro Carril Oeste vs Defensores De Belgrano?
On our numbers Ferro Carril Oeste have a 52% chance of winning, the draw 31% and Defensores De Belgrano 17%.
How many goals will there be in Ferro Carril Oeste vs Defensores De Belgrano?
We expect about 1.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 29% likely and both teams score 44% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Ferro Carril Oeste vs Defensores De Belgrano?
Our predicted score is Ferro Carril Oeste 1–0 Defensores De Belgrano, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.8 goals in total.
When is Ferro Carril Oeste vs Defensores De Belgrano?
Ferro Carril Oeste vs Defensores De Belgrano (Primera Nacional) kicks off on Monday 11 May 2026 at 23:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Arquitecto Ricardo Etcheverry.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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