Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗50% · @1.48
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗69% · @1.38
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗17% · fair 6.00
Nueva Chicago vs Almagro: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Nueva Chicago welcome Almagro to Estadio Nueva Chicago for a Primera Nacional fixture on Monday 11 May (23:30 WAT). In the table, Nueva Chicago are 17th, in the drop zone, on 37 points after 36 matches; Almagro are 15th (lower half) with 42.
Current form
Nueva Chicago, last 5: DWDWW Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Midland, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 0.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Almagro, last 3: DLD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Midland, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.3 goals a game.
Momentum favours Nueva Chicago, collecting 2.3 points per game to 0.7 for Almagro.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Nueva Chicago 1.1 xG, Almagro 0.8 xG – a total near 1.9. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 69%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Nueva Chicago 47%, draw 29%, Almagro 24%.
Lower-risk option: Nueva Chicago or draw (76%) at 1.13.
GG/NG: NG (50%) at 1.48.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (69%, odds 1.38). Most likely score in line with that pick: Nueva Chicago 1–0 Almagro. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Nueva Chicago47%fair 2.12 · @1.85
Draw29%fair 3.46 · @2.95
Almagro24%fair 4.17 · @4.50
1.90Expected goals
1.11Nueva Chicago xG
0.79Almagro xG
50%Both score
31%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–017%
0–015%
1–113%
0–112%
2–09%
2–17%
From our goals model: Nueva Chicago 1.1 – 0.8 Almagro expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Nueva Chicago
Almagro
Attack vs Primera Nacional average
-32%
+5%
Goals conceded vs average
+7%
+23%
Our expected goals here
1.03
0.88
Our own ratings from every Primera Nacional result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Nueva Chicago to win✗
47%
2.12
1.85
Double chance
Nueva Chicago or draw✗
76%
1.32
1.13
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
50%
2.00
1.48
Draw no bet
Nueva Chicago (draw no bet)✗
66%
1.51
–
Asian handicap
Almagro +1 (Asian handicap)✓
76%
1.31
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
57%
1.75
1.62
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
69%
1.45
1.38
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
88%
1.14
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
96%
1.05
–
First team to score
Nueva Chicago to score first
50%
2.01
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
51%
1.96
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Nueva Chicago / FT Nueva Chicago✗
24%
4.12
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
17%
6.00
–
Recent results
Nueva Chicago – last 6
DWDWWW
13 Apr
vs Midland
2–2
D
8 Apr
@ Atlanta
2–1
W
29 Mar
vs All Boys
0–0
D
23 Mar
vs Gimnasia Y Tiro
3–1
W
1 Mar
@ Agropecuario
2–0
W
15 Feb
@ Club Atlético Güemes
1–0
W
1.7Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Almagro – last 3
DLD
15 Mar
@ Midland
1–1
D
28 Feb
@ Gimnasia Y Tiro
0–2
L
14 Feb
@ Atletico DE Rafaela
0–0
D
0.3Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Nueva Chicago and Almagro.
What is the prediction for Nueva Chicago vs Almagro?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 69% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.38.
Who will win Nueva Chicago vs Almagro?
On our numbers Nueva Chicago have a 47% chance of winning, the draw 29% and Almagro 24%.
How many goals will there be in Nueva Chicago vs Almagro?
We expect about 1.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 31% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Nueva Chicago vs Almagro?
Our predicted score is Nueva Chicago 1–0 Almagro, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.9 goals in total.
When is Nueva Chicago vs Almagro?
Nueva Chicago vs Almagro (Primera Nacional) kicks off on Monday 11 May 2026 at 23:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Nueva Chicago.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Ferro Carril Oeste2
Defensores De Belgrano1