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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Almirante Brown v Colon Santa Fe: numbers & prediction

Primera Nacional · Argentina · Estadio Fragata Presidente Sarmiento
1–1
FT
Almirante Brown 35%Draw 33%Colon Santa Fe 32% Expected goals 0.90 – 0.84
73%
Betarazi pick

Under 2.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.37 · bookmaker 1.30 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.30Odds

Picks by market

ResultAlmirante Brown to win ✗35% · @2.70
Double chanceAlmirante Brown or draw ✓68% · @1.30
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗53% · @1.48
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓73% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗16% · fair 6.32

Almirante Brown vs Colon Santa Fe: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Almirante Brown welcome Colon Santa Fe to Estadio Fragata Presidente Sarmiento for a Primera Nacional fixture on Saturday 30 May (19:30 WAT). In the table, Almirante Brown are 6th, upper half, on 51 points after 36 matches; Colon Santa Fe are 5th (upper half) with 60.

Current form

Almirante Brown, last 5: WLLWW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Ferro Carril Oeste, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Colon Santa Fe, last 5: DWWWW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Atletico Mitre, at home. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 0.3 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.

Momentum favours Colon Santa Fe, collecting 2.3 points per game to 1.7 for Almirante Brown.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Almirante Brown 0.9 xG, Colon Santa Fe 0.8 xG – a total near 1.7. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 73%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Almirante Brown 35%, draw 33%, Colon Santa Fe 32%.
  • Lower-risk option: Almirante Brown or draw (68%) at 1.30.
  • GG/NG: NG (53%) at 1.48.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (73%, odds 1.30). Most likely score in line with that pick: Almirante Brown 0–0 Colon Santa Fe. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Almirante Brown35%fair 2.86 · @2.70
Draw33%fair 3.04 · @2.55
Colon Santa Fe32%fair 3.11 · @2.95
1.73Expected goals
0.90Almirante Brown xG
0.84Colon Santa Fe xG
47%Both score
27%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

0–018%
1–016%
0–115%
1–113%
2–07%
0–26%

From our goals model: Almirante Brown 0.9 – 0.8 Colon Santa Fe expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Team ratings (Betarazi)

Almirante BrownColon Santa Fe
Attack vs Primera Nacional average-1%+22%
Goals conceded vs average-13%-27%
Our expected goals here0.890.82

Our own ratings from every Primera Nacional result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultAlmirante Brown to win ✗35%2.862.70
Double chanceAlmirante Brown or draw ✓68%1.471.30
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✗53%1.881.48
Draw no betAlmirante Brown (draw no bet)52%1.92–
Asian handicapColon Santa Fe +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓65%1.53–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓53%1.901.75
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓73%1.371.30
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓90%1.11–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓97%1.03–
First team to scoreAlmirante Brown to score first ✓43%2.35–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗54%1.86–
Half-time / full-timeHT Draw / FT Draw ✗25%3.94–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗16%6.32–

Recent results

Almirante Brown – last 6

WLLWWD
28 Apr@ Ferro Carril Oeste1–0W
5 Aprvs Defensores De Belgrano0–2L
14 Mar@ Racing Cordoba1–2L
2 Mar@ CA Estudiantes1–0W
22 Febvs All Boys2–1W
15 Feb@ Los Andes0–0D
0.8Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Colon Santa Fe – last 6

DWWWWD
24 Mayvs Atletico Mitre1–1D
12 Aprvs Racing Cordoba1–0W
4 Aprvs San Miguel3–0W
29 Mar@ Patronato2–0W
15 Marvs Acassuso1–0W
1 Marvs Ferro Carril Oeste1–1D
1.5Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Almirante Brown and Colon Santa Fe.

Almirante Brown vs Colon Santa Fe head-to-head page →

Primera Nacional table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Godoy Cruz361998+2066
2Ferro Carril Oeste361998+766
3Deportivo Moron3618711+1661
4Deportivo Madryn3616128+2160
5Colon Santa Fe3616128+1860
6Almirante Brown36131211+451
7Ciudad de Bolívar36131211-351
8CA Estudiantes36131013049
9Chaco For Ever36121014+246
10Los Andes3691611+143
11All Boys3681711-841
12San Telmo36101115-1141
13Atletico Mitre3681612-1140
14Racing Cordoba36101016-1340
15Defensores De Belgrano3681513-939
16Central Norte3671712-938
17Acassuso3681117-1035
18San Miguel3661515-1533

More Primera Nacional predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Almirante Brown vs Colon Santa Fe?

Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.

Who will win Almirante Brown vs Colon Santa Fe?

On our numbers Almirante Brown have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 33% and Colon Santa Fe 32%.

How many goals will there be in Almirante Brown vs Colon Santa Fe?

We expect about 1.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 27% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Almirante Brown vs Colon Santa Fe?

Our predicted score is Almirante Brown 0–0 Colon Santa Fe, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.7 goals in total.

When is Almirante Brown vs Colon Santa Fe?

Almirante Brown vs Colon Santa Fe (Primera Nacional) kicks off on Saturday 30 May 2026 at 19:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Fragata Presidente Sarmiento.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.