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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Defensores De Belgrano v San Telmo: numbers & prediction

Primera Nacional · Argentina · Estadio Juan Pasquale
Defensores De Belgrano 49%Draw 31%San Telmo 20% Expected goals 1.16 – 0.71
68%
Betarazi pick

Under 2.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.46 · bookmaker 1.42 · Won ✓

7/10Rating
1.42Odds

Picks by market

ResultDefensores De Belgrano to win ✓49% · @1.83
Double chanceDefensores De Belgrano or draw ✓80% · @1.11
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓54% · @1.53
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓68% · @1.42
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓18% · fair 5.58

Defensores De Belgrano vs San Telmo: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Defensores De Belgrano welcome San Telmo to Estadio Juan Pasquale for a Primera Nacional fixture on Saturday 30 May (19:30 WAT). In the table, Defensores De Belgrano are 15th, lower half, on 39 points after 36 matches; San Telmo are 12th (lower half) with 41. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Defensores De Belgrano, last 5: LDLLW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Acassuso, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.

San Telmo, last 3: LLD Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Deportivo Moron, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.

Momentum favours Defensores De Belgrano, collecting 0.8 points per game to 0.3 for San Telmo.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Defensores De Belgrano 1.2 xG, San Telmo 0.7 xG – a total near 1.9. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 68%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Defensores De Belgrano 49%, draw 31%, San Telmo 20%.
  • GG/NG: NG (54%) at 1.53.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (68%, odds 1.42). Most likely score in line with that pick: Defensores De Belgrano 1–0 San Telmo. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Defensores De Belgrano49%fair 2.03 · @1.83
Draw31%fair 3.25 · @2.90
San Telmo20%fair 5.00 · @4.80
1.87Expected goals
1.16Defensores De Belgrano xG
0.71San Telmo xG
46%Both score
32%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–018%
0–015%
1–113%
0–111%
2–010%
2–17%

From our goals model: Defensores De Belgrano 1.2 – 0.7 San Telmo expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Team ratings (Betarazi)

Defensores De BelgranoSan Telmo
Attack vs Primera Nacional average-29%-10%
Goals conceded vs average+5%+19%
Our expected goals here1.030.74

Our own ratings from every Primera Nacional result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultDefensores De Belgrano to win ✓49%2.031.83
Double chanceDefensores De Belgrano or draw ✓80%1.251.11
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✓54%1.861.53
Draw no betDefensores De Belgrano (draw no bet) ✓71%1.41–
Asian handicapSan Telmo +1 (Asian handicap)73%1.38–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗58%1.741.57
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓68%1.461.42
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓88%1.14–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓96%1.04–
First team to scoreDefensores De Belgrano to score first ✓52%1.90–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗51%1.95–
Half-time / full-timeHT Defensores De Belgrano / FT Defensores De Belgrano ✓27%3.76–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓18%5.58–

Recent results

Defensores De Belgrano – last 6

LDLLWD
24 May@ Acassuso0–1L
18 Mayvs Chaco For Ever0–0D
11 May@ Ferro Carril Oeste1–2L
20 Apr@ Racing Cordoba0–3L
5 Apr@ Almirante Brown2–0W
30 Marvs Atletico DE Rafaela1–1D
0.7Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

San Telmo – last 3

LLD
5 Apr@ Deportivo Moron0–1L
29 Marvs Quilmes0–3L
22 Feb@ Chaco For Ever2–2D
0.7Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Defensores De Belgrano and San Telmo.

Defensores De Belgrano vs San Telmo head-to-head page →

Primera Nacional table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Godoy Cruz361998+2066
2Ferro Carril Oeste361998+766
3Deportivo Moron3618711+1661
4Deportivo Madryn3616128+2160
5Colon Santa Fe3616128+1860
6Almirante Brown36131211+451
7Ciudad de Bolívar36131211-351
8CA Estudiantes36131013049
9Chaco For Ever36121014+246
10Los Andes3691611+143
11All Boys3681711-841
12San Telmo36101115-1141
13Atletico Mitre3681612-1140
14Racing Cordoba36101016-1340
15Defensores De Belgrano3681513-939
16Central Norte3671712-938
17Acassuso3681117-1035
18San Miguel3661515-1533

More Primera Nacional predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Defensores De Belgrano vs San Telmo?

Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.42.

Who will win Defensores De Belgrano vs San Telmo?

On our numbers Defensores De Belgrano have a 49% chance of winning, the draw 31% and San Telmo 20%.

How many goals will there be in Defensores De Belgrano vs San Telmo?

We expect about 1.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 32% likely and both teams score 46% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Defensores De Belgrano vs San Telmo?

Our predicted score is Defensores De Belgrano 1–0 San Telmo, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.9 goals in total.

When is Defensores De Belgrano vs San Telmo?

Defensores De Belgrano vs San Telmo (Primera Nacional) kicks off on Saturday 30 May 2026 at 19:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Juan Pasquale.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.