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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Deportivo Moron v Almirante Brown: numbers & prediction

Primera Nacional · Argentina · Estadio Nuevo Francisco Urbano
1–0
FT
Deportivo Moron 54%Draw 28%Almirante Brown 19% Expected goals 1.33 – 0.73
54%
Betarazi pick

Deportivo Moron to win

Fair pick · fair odds 1.86 · bookmaker 1.77 · Won ✓

4/10Rating
1.77Odds

Picks by market

ResultDeportivo Moron to win ✓54% · @1.77
Double chanceDeportivo Moron or draw ✓81% · @1.09
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓57% · fair 1.74
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓85% · fair 1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓17% · fair 5.91

Deportivo Moron vs Almirante Brown: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

19:00 WAT, Sunday 7 June: Deportivo Moron v Almirante Brown in the Primera Nacional, played at Estadio Nuevo Francisco Urbano. In the table, Deportivo Moron are 3rd, among the top four, on 61 points after 36 matches; Almirante Brown are 6th (upper half) with 51.

Current form

Deportivo Moron, last 5: WWLLW Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Atletico Mitre, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Almirante Brown, last 5: DWLLW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Colon Santa Fe, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Deportivo Moron 1.3 xG, Almirante Brown 0.7 xG – a total near 2.1. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 66% and a clean sheet for one side more likely than not.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Deportivo Moron 54%, draw 28%, Almirante Brown 19%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Deportivo Moron to win (54%, odds 1.77). Most likely score in line with that pick: Deportivo Moron 1–0 Almirante Brown. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Deportivo Moron54%fair 1.86 · @1.77
Draw28%fair 3.62 · @2.88
Almirante Brown19%fair 5.37 · @5.40
2.06Expected goals
1.33Deportivo Moron xG
0.73Almirante Brown xG
43%Both score
34%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–017%
0–013%
1–112%
2–011%
0–19%
2–18%

From our goals model: Deportivo Moron 1.3 – 0.7 Almirante Brown expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Team ratings (Betarazi)

Deportivo MoronAlmirante Brown
Attack vs Primera Nacional average+29%-1%
Goals conceded vs average+12%-13%
Our expected goals here1.370.87

Our own ratings from every Primera Nacional result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultDeportivo Moron to win ✓54%1.861.77
Double chanceDeportivo Moron or draw ✓81%1.231.09
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✓57%1.74–
Draw no betDeportivo Moron (draw no bet) ✓74%1.35–
Asian handicapAlmirante Brown +1 (Asian handicap)67%1.50–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗61%1.64–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓66%1.52–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓85%1.18–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓94%1.06–
First team to scoreDeportivo Moron to score first ✓56%1.77–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗48%2.07–
Half-time / full-timeHT Deportivo Moron / FT Deportivo Moron ✓30%3.33–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓17%5.91–

Recent results

Deportivo Moron – last 6

WWLLWW
31 May@ Atletico Mitre3–1W
24 Mayvs CA Estudiantes2–0W
19 May@ All Boys0–1L
23 Aprvs Midland1–2L
5 Aprvs San Telmo1–0W
26 Feb@ Godoy Cruz1–0W
1.3Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Almirante Brown – last 6

DWLLWW
30 Mayvs Colon Santa Fe1–1D
28 Apr@ Ferro Carril Oeste1–0W
5 Aprvs Defensores De Belgrano0–2L
14 Mar@ Racing Cordoba1–2L
2 Mar@ CA Estudiantes1–0W
22 Febvs All Boys2–1W
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Deportivo Moron and Almirante Brown.

Deportivo Moron vs Almirante Brown head-to-head page →

Primera Nacional table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Godoy Cruz361998+2066
2Ferro Carril Oeste361998+766
3Deportivo Moron3618711+1661
4Deportivo Madryn3616128+2160
5Colon Santa Fe3616128+1860
6Almirante Brown36131211+451
7Ciudad de Bolívar36131211-351
8CA Estudiantes36131013049
9Chaco For Ever36121014+246
10Los Andes3691611+143
11All Boys3681711-841
12San Telmo36101115-1141
13Atletico Mitre3681612-1140
14Racing Cordoba36101016-1340
15Defensores De Belgrano3681513-939
16Central Norte3671712-938
17Acassuso3681117-1035
18San Miguel3661515-1533

More Primera Nacional predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Deportivo Moron vs Almirante Brown?

Our pick is Deportivo Moron to win with a 54% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.77.

Who will win Deportivo Moron vs Almirante Brown?

On our numbers Deportivo Moron have a 54% chance of winning, the draw 28% and Almirante Brown 19%.

How many goals will there be in Deportivo Moron vs Almirante Brown?

We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 34% likely and both teams score 43% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Deportivo Moron vs Almirante Brown?

Our predicted score is Deportivo Moron 1–0 Almirante Brown, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.

When is Deportivo Moron vs Almirante Brown?

Deportivo Moron vs Almirante Brown (Primera Nacional) kicks off on Sunday 7 June 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Nuevo Francisco Urbano.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.