Value bet: Deportivo Madryn to win @ 2.88 – our chance 38% vs 35% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultDeportivo Madryn to win ✗38% · @2.88
Double chanceEither team to win ✗70% · @1.40
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓51% · @1.67
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓83% · fair 1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗14% · fair 7.21
San Telmo vs Deportivo Madryn: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 7 June the Primera Nacional brings San Telmo against Deportivo Madryn at Estadio Osvaldo Baletto. Kick-off: 19:00 WAT. In the table, San Telmo are 12th, lower half, on 41 points after 36 matches; Deportivo Madryn are 4th (among the top four) with 60. There are 19 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
San Telmo, last 4: LLLD Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Defensores De Belgrano, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.
Deportivo Madryn, last 5: DWLDL Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Acassuso, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Momentum favours Deportivo Madryn, collecting 0.8 points per game to 0.3 for San Telmo.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give San Telmo 1.0 xG, Deportivo Madryn 1.2 xG – a total near 2.1. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 64%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – San Telmo 32%, draw 30%, Deportivo Madryn 38%.
GG/NG: NG (51%) at 1.67.
Price worth noting: Deportivo Madryn to win @2.88 – the bookmaker implies 35%, our ratings say 38%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Not both teams to score (51%, odds 1.67). Most likely score in line with that pick: San Telmo 0–1 Deportivo Madryn. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
San Telmo32%fair 3.10 · @2.62
Draw30%fair 3.36 · @2.75
Deportivo Madryn38%fair 2.63 · @2.88
2.13Expected goals
0.96San Telmo xG
1.17Deportivo Madryn xG
49%Both score
36%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–114%
1–113%
0–012%
1–011%
0–28%
1–28%
From our goals model: San Telmo 1.0 – 1.2 Deportivo Madryn expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
San Telmo
Deportivo Madryn
Attack vs Primera Nacional average
-10%
+35%
Goals conceded vs average
+19%
-18%
Our expected goals here
0.91
1.25
Our own ratings from every Primera Nacional result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Deportivo Madryn to win✗
38%
2.63
2.88 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
70%
1.42
1.40
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
51%
1.97
1.67
Draw no bet
Deportivo Madryn (draw no bet)
54%
1.85
–
Asian handicap
San Telmo +1 (Asian handicap)✓
78%
1.29
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
63%
1.59
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
64%
1.56
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
83%
1.20
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
93%
1.07
–
First team to score
Deportivo Madryn to score first✗
48%
2.07
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
48%
2.08
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Deportivo Madryn / FT Deportivo Madryn✗
23%
4.36
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
14%
7.21
–
Recent results
San Telmo – last 4
LLLD
30 May
@ Defensores De Belgrano
0–1
L
5 Apr
@ Deportivo Moron
0–1
L
29 Mar
vs Quilmes
0–3
L
22 Feb
@ Chaco For Ever
2–2
D
0.5Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
25%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Deportivo Madryn – last 6
DWLDLL
31 May
vs Acassuso
0–0
D
24 May
@ Chaco For Ever
2–1
W
17 May
vs Ferro Carril Oeste
0–1
L
29 Mar
vs San Martin Tucuman
1–1
D
25 Feb
@ San Martin S.J.
0–2
L
15 Feb
@ Colon Santa Fe
1–2
L
0.7Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between San Telmo and Deportivo Madryn.
What is the prediction for San Telmo vs Deportivo Madryn?
Our pick is Not both teams to score with a 51% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.67.
Who will win San Telmo vs Deportivo Madryn?
On our numbers San Telmo have a 32% chance of winning, the draw 30% and Deportivo Madryn 38%.
How many goals will there be in San Telmo vs Deportivo Madryn?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 36% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for San Telmo vs Deportivo Madryn?
Our predicted score is San Telmo 0–1 Deportivo Madryn, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is San Telmo vs Deportivo Madryn?
San Telmo vs Deportivo Madryn (Primera Nacional) kicks off on Sunday 7 June 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Osvaldo Baletto.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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