Gimnasia Y Tiro 36%Draw 30%Midland 34%Expected goals 1.05 – 0.96
68%
Betarazi pick
Under 2.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.47 · bookmaker 1.36 · Won ✓
7/10Rating
1.36Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.25 – our chance 52% vs 44% implied by the price (edge +16%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultGimnasia Y Tiro to win ✓36% · @2.62
Double chanceEither team to win ✓70% · @1.35
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗52% · @2.25
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓68% · @1.36
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗7% · fair 14.05
Gimnasia Y Tiro vs Midland: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Saturday 6 June the Primera Nacional brings Gimnasia Y Tiro against Midland at Estadio El Gigante del Norte. Kick-off: 01:30 WAT. In the table, Gimnasia Y Tiro are 8th, upper half, on 52 points after 36 matches; Midland are 5th (upper half) with 55. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Gimnasia Y Tiro, last 5: DDWLL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Atlanta, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Midland, last 5: WWWDW Their latest outing: 2–0 win over San Martin Tucuman, at home. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 0.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Midland, collecting 2.3 points per game to 1.0 for Gimnasia Y Tiro.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Gimnasia Y Tiro 1.1 xG, Midland 1.0 xG – a total near 2.0. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 68%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Gimnasia Y Tiro 36%, draw 30%, Midland 34%.
GG/NG: GG (52%) at 2.25.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.25 – the bookmaker implies 44%, our ratings say 52%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (68%, odds 1.36). Most likely score in line with that pick: Gimnasia Y Tiro 1–0 Midland. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Gimnasia Y Tiro36%fair 2.79 · @2.62
Draw30%fair 3.31 · @2.75
Midland34%fair 2.94 · @2.85
2.02Expected goals
1.05Gimnasia Y Tiro xG
0.96Midland xG
52%Both score
32%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–014%
1–114%
0–013%
0–113%
2–07%
2–17%
From our goals model: Gimnasia Y Tiro 1.1 – 1.0 Midland expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Gimnasia Y Tiro
Midland
Attack vs Primera Nacional average
+4%
+28%
Goals conceded vs average
-6%
-12%
Our expected goals here
1.12
0.94
Our own ratings from every Primera Nacional result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Gimnasia Y Tiro to win✓
36%
2.79
2.62
Double chance
Either team to win✓
70%
1.43
1.35
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
52%
1.94
2.25 ▲
Draw no bet
Gimnasia Y Tiro (draw no bet)✓
51%
1.95
–
Asian handicap
Midland +0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
63%
1.59
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
58%
1.72
1.65
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
68%
1.47
1.36
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
85%
1.17
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
95%
1.06
–
First team to score
Gimnasia Y Tiro to score first✓
45%
2.21
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
50%
2.01
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✗
22%
4.63
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
7%
14.05
–
Recent results
Gimnasia Y Tiro – last 6
DDWLLD
31 May
@ Atlanta
1–1
D
24 May
vs Gimnasia Jujuy
1–1
D
17 May
vs San Martin Tucuman
1–0
W
5 May
vs Agropecuario
2–3
L
1 May
@ Velez Sarsfield
0–2
L
20 Apr
vs Club Atlético Güemes
1–1
D
1.0Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Midland – last 6
WWWDWD
31 May
vs San Martin Tucuman
2–0
W
17 May
vs Agropecuario
2–0
W
23 Apr
@ Deportivo Moron
2–1
W
13 Apr
@ Nueva Chicago
2–2
D
9 Apr
vs Acassuso
1–0
W
15 Mar
vs Almagro
1–1
D
1.7Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Gimnasia Y Tiro and Midland.
What is the prediction for Gimnasia Y Tiro vs Midland?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.36.
Who will win Gimnasia Y Tiro vs Midland?
On our numbers Gimnasia Y Tiro have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 30% and Midland 34%.
How many goals will there be in Gimnasia Y Tiro vs Midland?
We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 32% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Gimnasia Y Tiro vs Midland?
Our predicted score is Gimnasia Y Tiro 1–0 Midland, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.
When is Gimnasia Y Tiro vs Midland?
Gimnasia Y Tiro vs Midland (Primera Nacional) kicks off on Saturday 6 June 2026 at 01:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio El Gigante del Norte.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.