Good pick · fair odds 1.69 · bookmaker 1.62 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.62Odds
Picks by market
ResultTristan Suarez to win ✗59% · @1.62
Double chanceTristan Suarez or draw ✓87% · @1.11
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓55% · @1.44
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓75% · fair 1.34
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗23% · fair 4.26
Tristan Suarez vs Almagro: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Tristan Suarez welcome Almagro to Estadio 20 de Octubre for a Primera Nacional fixture on Saturday 6 June (23:00 WAT). In the table, Tristan Suarez are 1st, leading the league, on 64 points after 36 matches; Almagro are 15th (lower half) with 42. There are 22 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Tristan Suarez, last 5: DWDDL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Patronato, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Almagro, last 5: WLLWD Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Club Atlético Güemes, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Tristan Suarez 1.3 xG, Almagro 0.4 xG – a total near 1.7. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 75%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Tristan Suarez 59%, draw 28%, Almagro 13%.
GG/NG: NG (55%) at 1.44.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Tristan Suarez to win (59%, odds 1.62). Most likely score in line with that pick: Tristan Suarez 1–0 Almagro. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Tristan Suarez59%fair 1.69 · @1.62
Draw28%fair 3.64 · @3.20
Almagro13%fair 7.54 · @6.50
1.74Expected goals
1.33Tristan Suarez xG
0.40Almagro xG
45%Both score
25%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–023%
0–018%
2–016%
1–19%
0–17%
3–07%
From our goals model: Tristan Suarez 1.3 – 0.4 Almagro expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Tristan Suarez
Almagro
Attack vs Primera Nacional average
-10%
+5%
Goals conceded vs average
-59%
+23%
Our expected goals here
1.35
0.34
Our own ratings from every Primera Nacional result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Tristan Suarez to win✗
59%
1.69
1.62
Double chance
Tristan Suarez or draw✓
87%
1.15
1.11
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
55%
1.81
1.44
Draw no bet
Tristan Suarez (draw no bet)
82%
1.22
–
Asian handicap
Tristan Suarez -0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
60%
1.65
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
52%
1.93
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
75%
1.34
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
90%
1.11
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
97%
1.03
–
First team to score
Tristan Suarez to score first✗
63%
1.58
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
52%
1.94
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Tristan Suarez / FT Tristan Suarez✗
36%
2.79
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
23%
4.26
–
Recent results
Tristan Suarez – last 6
DWDDLW
31 May
@ Patronato
1–1
D
17 May
@ Quilmes
1–0
W
19 Apr
@ San Martin Tucuman
0–0
D
14 Apr
vs Atletico DE Rafaela
0–0
D
9 Apr
@ Sarmiento Junin
0–1
L
21 Mar
vs Gimnasia Jujuy
3–0
W
0.8Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Almagro – last 6
WLLWDL
31 May
vs Club Atlético Güemes
2–0
W
24 May
@ Chacarita Juniors
0–1
L
17 May
vs San Martin S.J.
1–2
L
11 May
@ Nueva Chicago
2–1
W
15 Mar
@ Midland
1–1
D
28 Feb
@ Gimnasia Y Tiro
0–2
L
1.0Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Tristan Suarez and Almagro.
What is the prediction for Tristan Suarez vs Almagro?
Our pick is Tristan Suarez to win with a 59% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.62.
Who will win Tristan Suarez vs Almagro?
On our numbers Tristan Suarez have a 59% chance of winning, the draw 28% and Almagro 13%.
How many goals will there be in Tristan Suarez vs Almagro?
We expect about 1.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 25% likely and both teams score 45% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Tristan Suarez vs Almagro?
Our predicted score is Tristan Suarez 1–0 Almagro, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.7 goals in total.
When is Tristan Suarez vs Almagro?
Tristan Suarez vs Almagro (Primera Nacional) kicks off on Saturday 6 June 2026 at 23:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio 20 de Octubre.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.