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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Tristan Suarez v Almagro: numbers & prediction

Primera Nacional · Argentina · Estadio 20 de Octubre
0–0
FT

Almagro

WLLWD
Tristan Suarez 59%Draw 28%Almagro 13% Expected goals 1.33 – 0.40
59%
Betarazi pick

Tristan Suarez to win

Good pick · fair odds 1.69 · bookmaker 1.62 · Lost ✗

5/10Rating
1.62Odds

Picks by market

ResultTristan Suarez to win ✗59% · @1.62
Double chanceTristan Suarez or draw ✓87% · @1.11
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓55% · @1.44
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓75% · fair 1.34
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗23% · fair 4.26

Tristan Suarez vs Almagro: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Tristan Suarez welcome Almagro to Estadio 20 de Octubre for a Primera Nacional fixture on Saturday 6 June (23:00 WAT). In the table, Tristan Suarez are 1st, leading the league, on 64 points after 36 matches; Almagro are 15th (lower half) with 42. There are 22 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Tristan Suarez, last 5: DWDDL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Patronato, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.

Almagro, last 5: WLLWD Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Club Atlético Güemes, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Tristan Suarez 1.3 xG, Almagro 0.4 xG – a total near 1.7. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 75%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Tristan Suarez 59%, draw 28%, Almagro 13%.
  • GG/NG: NG (55%) at 1.44.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Tristan Suarez to win (59%, odds 1.62). Most likely score in line with that pick: Tristan Suarez 1–0 Almagro. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Tristan Suarez59%fair 1.69 · @1.62
Draw28%fair 3.64 · @3.20
Almagro13%fair 7.54 · @6.50
1.74Expected goals
1.33Tristan Suarez xG
0.40Almagro xG
45%Both score
25%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–023%
0–018%
2–016%
1–19%
0–17%
3–07%

From our goals model: Tristan Suarez 1.3 – 0.4 Almagro expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Team ratings (Betarazi)

Tristan SuarezAlmagro
Attack vs Primera Nacional average-10%+5%
Goals conceded vs average-59%+23%
Our expected goals here1.350.34

Our own ratings from every Primera Nacional result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultTristan Suarez to win ✗59%1.691.62
Double chanceTristan Suarez or draw ✓87%1.151.11
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✓55%1.811.44
Draw no betTristan Suarez (draw no bet)82%1.22–
Asian handicapTristan Suarez -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✗60%1.65–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗52%1.93–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓75%1.34–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓90%1.11–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓97%1.03–
First team to scoreTristan Suarez to score first ✗63%1.58–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓52%1.94–
Half-time / full-timeHT Tristan Suarez / FT Tristan Suarez ✗36%2.79–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗23%4.26–

Recent results

Tristan Suarez – last 6

DWDDLW
31 May@ Patronato1–1D
17 May@ Quilmes1–0W
19 Apr@ San Martin Tucuman0–0D
14 Aprvs Atletico DE Rafaela0–0D
9 Apr@ Sarmiento Junin0–1L
21 Marvs Gimnasia Jujuy3–0W
0.8Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Almagro – last 6

WLLWDL
31 Mayvs Club Atlético Güemes2–0W
24 May@ Chacarita Juniors0–1L
17 Mayvs San Martin S.J.1–2L
11 May@ Nueva Chicago2–1W
15 Mar@ Midland1–1D
28 Feb@ Gimnasia Y Tiro0–2L
1.0Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Tristan Suarez and Almagro.

Tristan Suarez vs Almagro head-to-head page →

Primera Nacional table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Tristan Suarez3616164+1864
2Atlanta3619512+862
3Temperley3616137+1261
4Gimnasia Jujuy36161010+458
5Midland36151011+1455
6Deportivo Maipu36141012+952
7Colegiales36141012+452
8Gimnasia Y Tiro36141012+252
9San Martin S.J.36131211+651
10San Martin Tucuman36111411+247
11Atletico DE Rafaela36121113-647
12Agropecuario36121014-846
13Quilmes3612915+345
14Chacarita Juniors3612618-642
15Almagro3611916-1142
16Patronato3671712-638
17Nueva Chicago3691017-1137
18Club Atlético Güemes366921-3427

More Primera Nacional predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Tristan Suarez vs Almagro?

Our pick is Tristan Suarez to win with a 59% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.62.

Who will win Tristan Suarez vs Almagro?

On our numbers Tristan Suarez have a 59% chance of winning, the draw 28% and Almagro 13%.

How many goals will there be in Tristan Suarez vs Almagro?

We expect about 1.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 25% likely and both teams score 45% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Tristan Suarez vs Almagro?

Our predicted score is Tristan Suarez 1–0 Almagro, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.7 goals in total.

When is Tristan Suarez vs Almagro?

Tristan Suarez vs Almagro (Primera Nacional) kicks off on Saturday 6 June 2026 at 23:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio 20 de Octubre.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.