Good pick · fair odds 1.53 · bookmaker 1.45 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.45Odds
2
Value bet: San Telmo to win @ 3.45 – our chance 33% vs 29% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultAcassuso to win ✗42% · @2.20
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75% · @1.30
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗51% · @1.62
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗65% · @1.45
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗15% · fair 6.90
Acassuso vs San Telmo: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
19:00 WAT, Wednesday 26 August: Acassuso v San Telmo in the Primera Nacional, played at La Quema Stadium. In the table, Acassuso are 17th, in the drop zone, on 35 points after 36 matches; San Telmo are 12th (lower half) with 41.
Current form
Acassuso, last 5: LDLDD Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Godoy Cruz, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
San Telmo, last 5: DLLWL Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Deportivo Moron, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Acassuso 1.1 xG, San Telmo 0.9 xG – a total near 2.0. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 65%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Acassuso 42%, draw 25%, San Telmo 33%.
GG/NG: NG (51%) at 1.62.
Price worth noting: San Telmo to win @3.45 – the bookmaker implies 29%, our ratings say 33%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (65%, odds 1.45). Most likely score in line with that pick: Acassuso 1–0 San Telmo. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Acassuso42%fair 2.36 · @2.20
Draw25%fair 4.02 · @2.85
San Telmo33%fair 3.05 · @3.45
2.03Expected goals
1.11Acassuso xG
0.93San Telmo xG
49%Both score
35%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–015%
1–113%
0–013%
0–112%
2–08%
2–17%
From our goals model: Acassuso 1.1 – 0.9 San Telmo expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Acassuso to win✗
42%
2.36
2.20
Double chance
Either team to win✓
75%
1.33
1.30
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
51%
1.96
1.62
Draw no bet
Acassuso (draw no bet)✗
56%
1.78
–
Asian handicap
San Telmo +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
60%
1.66
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
61%
1.65
1.53
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
65%
1.53
1.45
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
85%
1.18
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
94%
1.06
–
First team to score
Acassuso to score first
47%
2.11
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
49%
2.02
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Acassuso / FT Acassuso✗
22%
4.49
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
15%
6.90
–
Recent results
Acassuso – last 6
LDLDDL
21 Aug
vs Godoy Cruz
0–1
L
14 Aug
vs Midland
1–1
D
9 Aug
@ Deportivo Moron
1–4
L
1 Aug
vs Colon Santa Fe
1–1
D
26 Jul
@ San Miguel
0–0
D
12 Jul
@ Racing Cordoba
2–3
L
0.8Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
San Telmo – last 6
DLLWLL
21 Aug
vs Deportivo Moron
2–2
D
15 Aug
@ Quilmes
0–3
L
9 Aug
@ Colon Santa Fe
0–1
L
2 Aug
vs San Miguel
1–0
W
26 Jul
@ Racing Cordoba
1–2
L
11 Jul
vs Chaco For Ever
1–3
L
0.8Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Acassuso and San Telmo.
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.45.
Who will win Acassuso vs San Telmo?
On our numbers Acassuso have a 42% chance of winning, the draw 25% and San Telmo 33%.
How many goals will there be in Acassuso vs San Telmo?
We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 35% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Acassuso vs San Telmo?
Our predicted score is Acassuso 1–0 San Telmo, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.
When is Acassuso vs San Telmo?
Acassuso vs San Telmo (Primera Nacional) kicks off on Wednesday 26 August 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at La Quema Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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