Good pick · fair odds 1.50 · bookmaker 1.38 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.38Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.25 – our chance 52% vs 44% implied by the price (edge +17%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultPatronato to win ✓42% · @2.25
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗52% · @2.25
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓85% · fair 1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗7% · fair 13.35
Patronato vs Atlanta: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
19:30 WAT, Wednesday 26 August: Patronato v Atlanta in the Primera Nacional. In the table, Patronato are 16th, in the drop zone, on 38 points after 36 matches; Atlanta are 2nd (among the top four) with 62. There are 24 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Patronato, last 5: DLDDL Their latest outing: 3–3 draw with Gimnasia Jujuy, at home. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 2.2 conceded per game.
Atlanta, last 5: WLWLL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Nueva Chicago, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Atlanta, collecting 1.5 points per game to 0.7 for Patronato.
Head to head
When they last met (3 Mar 2026) it ended Atlanta 0–0 Patronato.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Patronato 1.1 xG, Atlanta 1.0 xG – a total near 2.1. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 67%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Patronato 42%, draw 25%, Atlanta 33%.
GG/NG: GG (52%) at 2.25.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.25 – the bookmaker implies 44%, our ratings say 52%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (67%, odds 1.38). Most likely score in line with that pick: Patronato 1–0 Atlanta. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Patronato42%fair 2.39 · @2.25
Draw25%fair 4.00 · @2.80
Atlanta33%fair 3.01 · @3.30
2.07Expected goals
1.12Patronato xG
0.95Atlanta xG
52%Both score
33%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–014%
1–113%
0–013%
0–112%
2–08%
2–17%
From our goals model: Patronato 1.1 – 1.0 Atlanta expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.38.
Who will win Patronato vs Atlanta?
On our numbers Patronato have a 42% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Atlanta 33%.
How many goals will there be in Patronato vs Atlanta?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 33% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Patronato vs Atlanta?
Our predicted score is Patronato 1–0 Atlanta, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is Patronato vs Atlanta?
Patronato vs Atlanta (Primera Nacional) kicks off on Wednesday 26 August 2026 at 19:30 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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San Telmo2