Almagro 36%Draw 30%Gimnasia Y Tiro 34%Expected goals 1.09 – 0.99
67%
Betarazi pick
Under 2.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.49 · bookmaker 1.36 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.36Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.25 – our chance 52% vs 44% implied by the price (edge +18%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultAlmagro to win ✗36% · @2.75
Double chanceEither team to win ✓70% · @1.36
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗52% · @2.25
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓84% · fair 1.19
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗7% · fair 13.64
Almagro vs Gimnasia Y Tiro: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Almagro welcome Gimnasia Y Tiro to Estadio Tres de Febrero for a Primera Nacional fixture on Wednesday 5 August (19:00 WAT). In the table, Almagro are 15th, lower half, on 42 points after 36 matches; Gimnasia Y Tiro are 8th (upper half) with 52.
Current form
Almagro, last 5: DWLWW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Midland, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Gimnasia Y Tiro, last 5: WWDWD Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Temperley, away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 0.7 conceded per game.
Head to head
When they last met (28 Feb 2026) it ended Gimnasia Y Tiro 2–0 Almagro.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Almagro 1.1 xG, Gimnasia Y Tiro 1.0 xG – a total near 2.1. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 67%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Almagro 36%, draw 30%, Gimnasia Y Tiro 34%.
GG/NG: GG (52%) at 2.25.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.25 – the bookmaker implies 44%, our ratings say 52%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (67%, odds 1.36). Most likely score in line with that pick: Almagro 1–0 Gimnasia Y Tiro. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Almagro36%fair 2.81 · @2.75
Draw30%fair 3.34 · @2.70
Gimnasia Y Tiro34%fair 2.90 · @2.75
2.08Expected goals
1.09Almagro xG
0.99Gimnasia Y Tiro xG
52%Both score
33%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–014%
1–113%
0–013%
0–112%
2–07%
2–17%
From our goals model: Almagro 1.1 – 1.0 Gimnasia Y Tiro expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Almagro
Gimnasia Y Tiro
Attack vs Primera Nacional average
+5%
+4%
Goals conceded vs average
+23%
-6%
Our expected goals here
1.22
1.00
Our own ratings from every Primera Nacional result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
What is the prediction for Almagro vs Gimnasia Y Tiro?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.36.
Who will win Almagro vs Gimnasia Y Tiro?
On our numbers Almagro have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 30% and Gimnasia Y Tiro 34%.
How many goals will there be in Almagro vs Gimnasia Y Tiro?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 33% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Almagro vs Gimnasia Y Tiro?
Our predicted score is Almagro 1–0 Gimnasia Y Tiro, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is Almagro vs Gimnasia Y Tiro?
Almagro vs Gimnasia Y Tiro (Primera Nacional) kicks off on Wednesday 5 August 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Tres de Febrero.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
