Quilmes vs Gimnasia Jujuy: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Gimnasia Jujuy travel to face Quilmes on Wednesday 5 August in the Primera Nacional, with Estadio Centenario Ciudad de Quilmes the venue – the ball rolls at 23:00 WAT. In the table, Quilmes are 13th, lower half, on 45 points after 36 matches; Gimnasia Jujuy are 4th (among the top four) with 58. There are 13 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Quilmes, last 5: DLLWL Their latest outing: 3–3 draw with Patronato, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Gimnasia Jujuy, last 5: LWWDW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Colegiales, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. 2.2 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
Momentum favours Gimnasia Jujuy, collecting 2.2 points per game to 1.2 for Quilmes.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Quilmes 1.5 xG, Gimnasia Jujuy 0.9 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 40%, GG 51%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Quilmes 48%, draw 27%, Gimnasia Jujuy 25%.
Lower-risk option: Quilmes or draw (75%) at 1.20.
GG/NG: GG (51%) at 2.00.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Quilmes or draw (75%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Quilmes 1–0 Gimnasia Jujuy. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Quilmes48%fair 2.08 · @2.05
Draw27%fair 3.70 · @2.95
Gimnasia Jujuy25%fair 4.03 · @3.65
2.35Expected goals
1.45Quilmes xG
0.89Gimnasia Jujuy xG
51%Both score
40%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–014%
1–112%
2–010%
0–010%
2–19%
0–19%
From our goals model: Quilmes 1.5 – 0.9 Gimnasia Jujuy expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Quilmes
Gimnasia Jujuy
Attack vs Primera Nacional average
-12%
+33%
Goals conceded vs average
-16%
+47%
Our expected goals here
1.59
0.88
Our own ratings from every Primera Nacional result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Quilmes to win✓
48%
2.08
2.05
Double chance
Quilmes or draw✓
75%
1.33
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
51%
1.98
2.00
Draw no bet
Quilmes (draw no bet)✓
66%
1.52
–
Asian handicap
Gimnasia Jujuy +1 (Asian handicap)✗
66%
1.50
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
66%
1.52
1.45
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
60%
1.68
1.53
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
79%
1.26
1.17
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
91%
1.10
–
First team to score
Quilmes to score first✓
56%
1.78
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
45%
2.22
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Quilmes / FT Quilmes✗
30%
3.35
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.07
–
Recent results
Quilmes – last 6
DLLWLW
1 Aug
@ Patronato
3–3
D
26 Jul
vs Colegiales
0–1
L
12 Jul
@ Midland
0–1
L
4 Jul
vs Atlanta
2–1
W
20 Jun
@ Colegiales
1–3
L
13 Jun
vs Gimnasia Y Tiro
1–0
W
1.2Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Gimnasia Jujuy – last 6
LWWDWW
1 Aug
@ Colegiales
1–2
L
26 Jul
vs Club Atlético Güemes
2–1
W
12 Jul
vs Chacarita Juniors
2–1
W
5 Jul
@ Midland
1–1
D
21 Jun
@ Club Atlético Güemes
3–1
W
17 Jun
vs Nueva Chicago
4–0
W
2.2Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Quilmes and Gimnasia Jujuy.
What is the prediction for Quilmes vs Gimnasia Jujuy?
Our pick is Quilmes or draw with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Quilmes vs Gimnasia Jujuy?
On our numbers Quilmes have a 48% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Gimnasia Jujuy 25%.
How many goals will there be in Quilmes vs Gimnasia Jujuy?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 40% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Quilmes vs Gimnasia Jujuy?
Our predicted score is Quilmes 1–0 Gimnasia Jujuy, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Quilmes vs Gimnasia Jujuy?
Quilmes vs Gimnasia Jujuy (Primera Nacional) kicks off on Wednesday 5 August 2026 at 23:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Centenario Ciudad de Quilmes.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
