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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

San Martin Tucuman v Deportivo Madryn: numbers & prediction

Primera Nacional · Argentina · Estadio La Ciudadela
San Martin Tucuman 57%Draw 23%Deportivo Madryn 21% Expected goals 1.34 – 0.64
69%
Betarazi pick

Under 2.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.46 · bookmaker 1.35 · Lost ✗

7/10Rating
1.35Odds

Picks by market

ResultSan Martin Tucuman to win ✗57% · @1.83
Double chanceSan Martin Tucuman or draw ✓79% · @1.11
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗54% · @1.42
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗69% · @1.35
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗19% · fair 5.40

San Martin Tucuman vs Deportivo Madryn: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Deportivo Madryn travel to face San Martin Tucuman on Sunday 16 August in the Primera Nacional, with Estadio La Ciudadela the venue – the ball rolls at 21:00 WAT. In the table, San Martin Tucuman are 10th, lower half, on 47 points after 36 matches; Deportivo Madryn are 4th (among the top four) with 60. There are 13 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

San Martin Tucuman, last 5: DLLDW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with San Martin S.J., at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 0.8 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Deportivo Madryn, last 5: WWDDL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over CA Estudiantes, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.8 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Momentum favours Deportivo Madryn, collecting 1.8 points per game to 1.3 for San Martin Tucuman.

Head to head

When they last met (29 Mar 2026) it ended Deportivo Madryn 1–1 San Martin Tucuman.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give San Martin Tucuman 1.3 xG, Deportivo Madryn 0.6 xG – a total near 2.0. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 69%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – San Martin Tucuman 57%, draw 23%, Deportivo Madryn 21%.
  • GG/NG: NG (54%) at 1.42.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (69%, odds 1.35). Most likely score in line with that pick: San Martin Tucuman 1–0 Deportivo Madryn. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

San Martin Tucuman57%fair 1.77 · @1.83
Draw23%fair 4.40 · @2.95
Deportivo Madryn21%fair 4.82 · @4.75
1.98Expected goals
1.34San Martin Tucuman xG
0.64Deportivo Madryn xG
46%Both score
31%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–019%
0–014%
2–012%
1–112%
0–19%
2–18%

From our goals model: San Martin Tucuman 1.3 – 0.6 Deportivo Madryn expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultSan Martin Tucuman to win ✗57%1.771.83
Double chanceSan Martin Tucuman or draw ✓79%1.261.11
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✗54%1.841.42
Draw no betSan Martin Tucuman (draw no bet)73%1.37–
Asian handicapDeportivo Madryn +1 (Asian handicap) ✓64%1.56–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓58%1.731.65
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗69%1.461.35
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗86%1.16–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓95%1.05–
First team to scoreSan Martin Tucuman to score first ✓58%1.72–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗49%2.03–
Half-time / full-timeHT San Martin Tucuman / FT San Martin Tucuman ✗32%3.16–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗19%5.40–

Recent results

San Martin Tucuman – last 6

DLLDWW
9 Augvs San Martin S.J.1–1D
1 Aug@ Nueva Chicago1–2L
25 Julvs Temperley1–2L
17 Jul@ Deportivo Maipu0–0D
12 Julvs Almagro3–0W
5 Jul@ Patronato1–0W
1.2Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Deportivo Madryn – last 6

WWDDLW
8 Aug@ CA Estudiantes1–0W
2 Augvs All Boys2–0W
26 Jul@ Los Andes0–0D
11 Jul@ Deportivo Moron2–2D
5 Julvs Colon Santa Fe1–2L
21 Junvs Los Andes2–1W
1.3Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

29 Mar 2026Deportivo Madryn v San Martin Tucuman1–1
San Martin Tucuman vs Deportivo Madryn head-to-head page →

Primera Nacional table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Godoy Cruz361998+2066
2Ferro Carril Oeste361998+766
3Deportivo Moron3618711+1661
4Deportivo Madryn3616128+2160
5Colon Santa Fe3616128+1860
6Almirante Brown36131211+451
7Ciudad de Bolívar36131211-351
8CA Estudiantes36131013049
9Chaco For Ever36121014+246
10Los Andes3691611+143
11All Boys3681711-841
12San Telmo36101115-1141
13Atletico Mitre3681612-1140
14Racing Cordoba36101016-1340
15Defensores De Belgrano3681513-939
16Central Norte3671712-938
17Acassuso3681117-1035
18San Miguel3661515-1533

More Primera Nacional predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for San Martin Tucuman vs Deportivo Madryn?

Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 69% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.35.

Who will win San Martin Tucuman vs Deportivo Madryn?

On our numbers San Martin Tucuman have a 57% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Deportivo Madryn 21%.

How many goals will there be in San Martin Tucuman vs Deportivo Madryn?

We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 31% likely and both teams score 46% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for San Martin Tucuman vs Deportivo Madryn?

Our predicted score is San Martin Tucuman 1–0 Deportivo Madryn, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.

When is San Martin Tucuman vs Deportivo Madryn?

San Martin Tucuman vs Deportivo Madryn (Primera Nacional) kicks off on Sunday 16 August 2026 at 21:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio La Ciudadela.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.