Double chanceSan Martin Tucuman or draw ✓79% · @1.11
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗54% · @1.42
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗69% · @1.35
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗19% · fair 5.40
San Martin Tucuman vs Deportivo Madryn: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Deportivo Madryn travel to face San Martin Tucuman on Sunday 16 August in the Primera Nacional, with Estadio La Ciudadela the venue – the ball rolls at 21:00 WAT. In the table, San Martin Tucuman are 10th, lower half, on 47 points after 36 matches; Deportivo Madryn are 4th (among the top four) with 60. There are 13 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
San Martin Tucuman, last 5: DLLDW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with San Martin S.J., at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 0.8 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Deportivo Madryn, last 5: WWDDL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over CA Estudiantes, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.8 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Deportivo Madryn, collecting 1.8 points per game to 1.3 for San Martin Tucuman.
Head to head
When they last met (29 Mar 2026) it ended Deportivo Madryn 1–1 San Martin Tucuman.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give San Martin Tucuman 1.3 xG, Deportivo Madryn 0.6 xG – a total near 2.0. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 69%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – San Martin Tucuman 57%, draw 23%, Deportivo Madryn 21%.
GG/NG: NG (54%) at 1.42.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (69%, odds 1.35). Most likely score in line with that pick: San Martin Tucuman 1–0 Deportivo Madryn. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
San Martin Tucuman57%fair 1.77 · @1.83
Draw23%fair 4.40 · @2.95
Deportivo Madryn21%fair 4.82 · @4.75
1.98Expected goals
1.34San Martin Tucuman xG
0.64Deportivo Madryn xG
46%Both score
31%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–019%
0–014%
2–012%
1–112%
0–19%
2–18%
From our goals model: San Martin Tucuman 1.3 – 0.6 Deportivo Madryn expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for San Martin Tucuman vs Deportivo Madryn?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 69% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.35.
Who will win San Martin Tucuman vs Deportivo Madryn?
On our numbers San Martin Tucuman have a 57% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Deportivo Madryn 21%.
How many goals will there be in San Martin Tucuman vs Deportivo Madryn?
We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 31% likely and both teams score 46% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for San Martin Tucuman vs Deportivo Madryn?
Our predicted score is San Martin Tucuman 1–0 Deportivo Madryn, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.
When is San Martin Tucuman vs Deportivo Madryn?
San Martin Tucuman vs Deportivo Madryn (Primera Nacional) kicks off on Sunday 16 August 2026 at 21:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio La Ciudadela.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.