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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Deportivo Madryn v Atletico Mitre: numbers & prediction

Primera Nacional · Argentina · Estadio Abel Sastre
4–0
FT
Deportivo Madryn 63%Draw 25%Atletico Mitre 12% Expected goals 1.59 – 0.54
63%
Betarazi pick

Deportivo Madryn to win

Good pick · fair odds 1.60 · bookmaker 1.85 · Won ✓

6/10Rating
1.85Odds

Picks by market

ResultDeportivo Madryn to win ✓63% · @1.85
Double chanceDeportivo Madryn or draw ✓88% · @1.13
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓55% · @1.48
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗83% · fair 1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗19% · fair 5.28

Deportivo Madryn vs Atletico Mitre: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

23:00 WAT, Friday 21 August: Deportivo Madryn v Atletico Mitre in the Primera Nacional, played at Estadio Abel Sastre. In the table, Deportivo Madryn are 4th, among the top four, on 60 points after 36 matches; Atletico Mitre are 13th (lower half) with 40. There are 20 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Deportivo Madryn, last 5: DWWDD Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with San Martin Tucuman, away. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.0 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Atletico Mitre, last 5: DWWDW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Club Atlético Güemes, at home. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 0.8 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Deportivo Madryn 1.6 xG, Atletico Mitre 0.5 xG – a total near 2.1. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 66%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Deportivo Madryn 63%, draw 25%, Atletico Mitre 12%.
  • Lower-risk option: Deportivo Madryn or draw (88%) at 1.13.
  • GG/NG: NG (55%) at 1.48.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Deportivo Madryn to win (63%, odds 1.85 – longer than our fair 1.60, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Deportivo Madryn 1–0 Atletico Mitre. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Deportivo Madryn63%fair 1.60 · @1.85
Draw25%fair 3.95 · @2.95
Atletico Mitre12%fair 8.34 · @4.40
2.13Expected goals
1.59Deportivo Madryn xG
0.54Atletico Mitre xG
45%Both score
34%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–019%
2–015%
0–012%
1–110%
2–18%
3–08%

From our goals model: Deportivo Madryn 1.6 – 0.5 Atletico Mitre expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultDeportivo Madryn to win ✓63%1.601.85 ▲
Double chanceDeportivo Madryn or draw ✓88%1.141.13
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✓55%1.831.48
Draw no betDeportivo Madryn (draw no bet) ✓84%1.19–
Asian handicapDeportivo Madryn -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓63%1.59–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓60%1.661.62
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗66%1.521.38
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗83%1.20–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓94%1.07–
First team to scoreDeportivo Madryn to score first ✓66%1.52–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗46%2.17–
Half-time / full-timeHT Deportivo Madryn / FT Deportivo Madryn ✓39%2.58–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗19%5.28–

Recent results

Deportivo Madryn – last 6

DWWDDL
16 Aug@ San Martin Tucuman2–2D
8 Aug@ CA Estudiantes1–0W
2 Augvs All Boys2–0W
26 Jul@ Los Andes0–0D
11 Jul@ Deportivo Moron2–2D
5 Julvs Colon Santa Fe1–2L
1.3Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Atletico Mitre – last 6

DWWDWL
15 Augvs Club Atlético Güemes1–1D
9 Augvs Defensores De Belgrano2–1W
2 Aug@ Ciudad de Bolívar2–0W
26 Julvs Almirante Brown0–0D
17 Julvs Racing Cordoba1–0W
11 Jul@ CA Estudiantes0–3L
1.0Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Deportivo Madryn and Atletico Mitre.

Deportivo Madryn vs Atletico Mitre head-to-head page →

Primera Nacional table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Godoy Cruz361998+2066
2Ferro Carril Oeste361998+766
3Deportivo Moron3618711+1661
4Deportivo Madryn3616128+2160
5Colon Santa Fe3616128+1860
6Almirante Brown36131211+451
7Ciudad de Bolívar36131211-351
8CA Estudiantes36131013049
9Chaco For Ever36121014+246
10Los Andes3691611+143
11All Boys3681711-841
12San Telmo36101115-1141
13Atletico Mitre3681612-1140
14Racing Cordoba36101016-1340
15Defensores De Belgrano3681513-939
16Central Norte3671712-938
17Acassuso3681117-1035
18San Miguel3661515-1533

More Primera Nacional predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Deportivo Madryn vs Atletico Mitre?

Our pick is Deportivo Madryn to win with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.85.

Who will win Deportivo Madryn vs Atletico Mitre?

On our numbers Deportivo Madryn have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Atletico Mitre 12%.

How many goals will there be in Deportivo Madryn vs Atletico Mitre?

We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 34% likely and both teams score 45% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Deportivo Madryn vs Atletico Mitre?

Our predicted score is Deportivo Madryn 1–0 Atletico Mitre, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.

When is Deportivo Madryn vs Atletico Mitre?

Deportivo Madryn vs Atletico Mitre (Primera Nacional) kicks off on Friday 21 August 2026 at 23:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Abel Sastre.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.