San Telmo 32%Draw 26%Deportivo Moron 42%Expected goals 0.94 – 1.14
67%
Betarazi pick
Under 2.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.49 · bookmaker 1.35 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.35Odds
2
Value bet: Deportivo Moron to win @ 2.65 – our chance 42% vs 38% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultDeportivo Moron to win ✗42% · @2.65
Double chanceEither team to win ✗74% · @1.33
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗52% · @1.50
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗84% · fair 1.19
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗14% · fair 7.00
San Telmo vs Deportivo Moron: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Deportivo Moron travel to face San Telmo on Friday 21 August in the Primera Nacional, with Estadio Osvaldo Baletto the venue – the ball rolls at 19:30 WAT. In the table, San Telmo are 12th, lower half, on 41 points after 36 matches; Deportivo Moron are 3rd (among the top four) with 61. There are 20 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
San Telmo, last 5: LLWLL Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to Quilmes, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Deportivo Moron, last 5: WWLWD Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Almagro, at home. 2.2 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
Momentum favours Deportivo Moron, collecting 1.7 points per game to 0.5 for San Telmo.
Head to head
When they last met (5 Apr 2026) it ended Deportivo Moron 1–0 San Telmo.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give San Telmo 0.9 xG, Deportivo Moron 1.1 xG – a total near 2.1. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 67%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – San Telmo 32%, draw 26%, Deportivo Moron 42%.
GG/NG: NG (52%) at 1.50.
Price worth noting: Deportivo Moron to win @2.65 – the bookmaker implies 38%, our ratings say 42%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (67%, odds 1.35). Most likely score in line with that pick: San Telmo 0–1 Deportivo Moron. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
San Telmo32%fair 3.16 · @2.80
Draw26%fair 3.86 · @2.75
Deportivo Moron42%fair 2.36 · @2.65
2.08Expected goals
0.94San Telmo xG
1.14Deportivo Moron xG
48%Both score
33%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–114%
1–113%
0–012%
1–012%
0–28%
1–28%
From our goals model: San Telmo 0.9 – 1.1 Deportivo Moron expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for San Telmo vs Deportivo Moron?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.35.
Who will win San Telmo vs Deportivo Moron?
On our numbers San Telmo have a 32% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Deportivo Moron 42%.
How many goals will there be in San Telmo vs Deportivo Moron?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 33% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for San Telmo vs Deportivo Moron?
Our predicted score is San Telmo 0–1 Deportivo Moron, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is San Telmo vs Deportivo Moron?
San Telmo vs Deportivo Moron (Primera Nacional) kicks off on Friday 21 August 2026 at 19:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Osvaldo Baletto.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
