Almirante Brown v Deportivo Madryn Prediction & Expected Goals (30 Aug) – Odds, Stats, Pick

Picks by market

ResultAlmirante Brown to win ✓39% · @2.20

Double chanceEither team to win ✓74% · @1.35

Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓53% · @1.48

GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓69% · @1.35

Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓14% · fair 6.91

Almirante Brown vs Deportivo Madryn: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

19:00 WAT, Sunday 30 August: Almirante Brown v Deportivo Madryn in the Primera Nacional, played at Estadio Fragata Presidente Sarmiento. In the table, Almirante Brown are 6th, upper half, on 51 points after 36 matches; Deportivo Madryn are 4th (among the top four) with 60.

Current form

Almirante Brown, last 5: WLWWD Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Defensores De Belgrano, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 0.5 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 5 clean sheets in that run.

Deportivo Madryn, last 5: WWDWW Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Godoy Cruz, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 0.3 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 5 clean sheets in that run.

Momentum favours Deportivo Madryn, collecting 2.3 points per game to 1.8 for Almirante Brown.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Almirante Brown 1.0 xG, Deportivo Madryn 0.9 xG – a total near 1.9. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 69%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.

Markets worth a look

1X2 according to our numbers – Almirante Brown 39%, draw 26%, Deportivo Madryn 35%.
GG/NG: NG (53%) at 1.48.
Price worth noting: Deportivo Madryn to win @3.55 – the bookmaker implies 28%, our ratings say 35%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (69%, odds 1.35). Most likely score in line with that pick: Almirante Brown 1–0 Deportivo Madryn. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Almirante Brown39%fair 2.58 · @2.20

Draw26%fair 3.84 · @2.70

Deportivo Madryn35%fair 2.85 · @3.55

1.94Expected goals

1.00Almirante Brown xG

0.93Deportivo Madryn xG

47%Both score

31%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–014%

0–014%

1–114%

0–113%

2–07%

2–17%

From our goals model: Almirante Brown 1.0 – 0.9 Deportivo Madryn expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Almirante Brown to win ✓	39%	2.58	2.20
Double chance	Either team to win ✓	74%	1.35	1.35
Both teams to score	Not both teams to score ✓	53%	1.88	1.48
Draw no bet	Almirante Brown (draw no bet) ✓	53%	1.90	–
Asian handicap	Deportivo Madryn +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✗	64%	1.57	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✗	57%	1.76	1.67
Over/under 2.5 goals	Under 2.5 goals ✓	69%	1.45	1.35
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✓	87%	1.15	–
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals ✓	95%	1.05	–
First team to score	Almirante Brown to score first ✓	44%	2.26	–
Half-time result	Level at half-time ✗	51%	1.97	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Draw / FT Draw ✗	23%	4.43	–
Correct score	Correct score 1–0 ✓	14%	6.91	–

Almirante Brown – last 6

WLWWDD

22 Aug	@ Defensores De Belgrano	2–0	W
16 Aug	@ Tristan Suarez	1–3	L
8 Aug	vs Ciudad de Bolívar	2–0	W
2 Aug	vs Racing Cordoba	2–0	W
26 Jul	@ Atletico Mitre	0–0	D
17 Jul	vs CA Estudiantes	0–0	D

1.2Scored / game

0.5Conceded / game

17%Both scored

17%Over 2.5

Deportivo Madryn – last 6

WWDWWD

25 Aug	vs Godoy Cruz	2–0	W
21 Aug	vs Atletico Mitre	4–0	W
16 Aug	@ San Martin Tucuman	2–2	D
8 Aug	@ CA Estudiantes	1–0	W
2 Aug	vs All Boys	2–0	W
26 Jul	@ Los Andes	0–0	D

1.8Scored / game

0.3Conceded / game

17%Both scored

33%Over 2.5

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Godoy Cruz	36	19	9	8	+20	66
2	Ferro Carril Oeste	36	19	9	8	+7	66
3	Deportivo Moron	36	18	7	11	+16	61
4	Deportivo Madryn	36	16	12	8	+21	60
5	Colon Santa Fe	36	16	12	8	+18	60
6	Almirante Brown	36	13	12	11	+4	51
7	Ciudad de Bolívar	36	13	12	11	-3	51
8	CA Estudiantes	36	13	10	13	0	49
9	Chaco For Ever	36	12	10	14	+2	46
10	Los Andes	36	9	16	11	+1	43
11	All Boys	36	8	17	11	-8	41
12	San Telmo	36	10	11	15	-11	41
13	Atletico Mitre	36	8	16	12	-11	40
14	Racing Cordoba	36	10	10	16	-13	40
15	Defensores De Belgrano	36	8	15	13	-9	39
16	Central Norte	36	7	17	12	-9	38
17	Acassuso	36	8	11	17	-10	35
18	San Miguel	36	6	15	15	-15	33

Team

Pts

+20

+16

+21

+18

-3

-8

-11

-11

-13

Defensores De Belgrano

-9

Central Norte

-9

Acassuso

-10

San Miguel

-15

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Almirante Brown vs Deportivo Madryn?

Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 69% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.35.

Who will win Almirante Brown vs Deportivo Madryn?

On our numbers Almirante Brown have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Deportivo Madryn 35%.

How many goals will there be in Almirante Brown vs Deportivo Madryn?

We expect about 1.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 31% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Almirante Brown vs Deportivo Madryn?

Our predicted score is Almirante Brown 1–0 Deportivo Madryn, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.9 goals in total.

When is Almirante Brown vs Deportivo Madryn?

Almirante Brown vs Deportivo Madryn (Primera Nacional) kicks off on Sunday 30 August 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Fragata Presidente Sarmiento.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

Almirante Brown v Deportivo Madryn: numbers & prediction