Agropecuario 61%Draw 24%Atletico DE Rafaela 14%Expected goals 1.31 – 0.43
86%
Betarazi pick
Agropecuario or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.17 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.20Odds
1
Value bet: Agropecuario to win @ 1.95 – our chance 61% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +20%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultAgropecuario to win ✓61% · @1.95
Double chanceAgropecuario or draw ✓86% · @1.20
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓55% · @1.50
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓75% · fair 1.34
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗23% · fair 4.34
Agropecuario vs Atletico DE Rafaela: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Agropecuario welcome Atletico DE Rafaela to Ofelia Rosenzuaig for a Primera Nacional fixture on Sunday 6 September (19:00 WAT). In the table, Agropecuario are 12th, lower half, on 46 points after 36 matches; Atletico DE Rafaela are 11th (lower half) with 47. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Agropecuario, last 5: DLWWL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Gimnasia Jujuy, away. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Atletico DE Rafaela, last 5: WDDWD Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Tristan Suarez, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Head to head
When they last met (21 Apr 2026) it ended Atletico DE Rafaela 4–1 Agropecuario.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Agropecuario 1.3 xG, Atletico DE Rafaela 0.4 xG – a total near 1.7. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 75%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Agropecuario 61%, draw 24%, Atletico DE Rafaela 14%.
Lower-risk option: Agropecuario or draw (86%) at 1.20.
GG/NG: NG (55%) at 1.50.
Price worth noting: Agropecuario to win @1.95 – the bookmaker implies 51%, our ratings say 61%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Agropecuario or draw (86%, odds 1.20 – longer than our fair 1.17, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Agropecuario 1–0 Atletico DE Rafaela. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Agropecuario61%fair 1.63 · @1.95
Draw24%fair 4.12 · @2.88
Atletico DE Rafaela14%fair 6.97 · @4.40
1.74Expected goals
1.31Agropecuario xG
0.43Atletico DE Rafaela xG
45%Both score
25%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–023%
0–018%
2–015%
1–110%
0–18%
3–07%
From our goals model: Agropecuario 1.3 – 0.4 Atletico DE Rafaela expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Agropecuario vs Atletico DE Rafaela?
Our pick is Agropecuario or draw with a 86% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Agropecuario vs Atletico DE Rafaela?
On our numbers Agropecuario have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Atletico DE Rafaela 14%.
How many goals will there be in Agropecuario vs Atletico DE Rafaela?
We expect about 1.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 25% likely and both teams score 45% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Agropecuario vs Atletico DE Rafaela?
Our predicted score is Agropecuario 1–0 Atletico DE Rafaela, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.7 goals in total.
When is Agropecuario vs Atletico DE Rafaela?
Agropecuario vs Atletico DE Rafaela (Primera Nacional) kicks off on Sunday 6 September 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Ofelia Rosenzuaig.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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