Deportivo Madryn v Ciudad de Bolívar Prediction & Expected Goals (6 Sep) – Odds, Stats, Pick

Picks by market

ResultDeportivo Madryn to win ✓65% · @1.70

Double chanceDeportivo Madryn or draw ✓88% · @1.14

Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗57% · @1.55

GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗67% · fair 1.49

Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗21% · fair 4.87

Deportivo Madryn vs Ciudad de Bolívar: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Sunday 6 September the Primera Nacional brings Deportivo Madryn against Ciudad de Bolívar at Estadio Abel Sastre. Kick-off: 20:00 WAT. In the table, Deportivo Madryn are 4th, among the top four, on 60 points after 36 matches; Ciudad de Bolívar are 7th (upper half) with 51.

Current form

Deportivo Madryn, last 5: LWWDW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Almirante Brown, away. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 0.5 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.

Ciudad de Bolívar, last 5: WDLLL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Defensores De Belgrano, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.

Momentum favours Deportivo Madryn, collecting 2.2 points per game to 1.2 for Ciudad de Bolívar.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Deportivo Madryn 1.5 xG, Ciudad de Bolívar 0.5 xG – a total near 2.0. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 67% and a clean sheet for one side more likely than not. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.

Markets worth a look

1X2 according to our numbers – Deportivo Madryn 65%, draw 23%, Ciudad de Bolívar 12%.
Lower-risk option: Deportivo Madryn or draw (88%) at 1.14.
GG/NG: NG (57%) at 1.55.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Deportivo Madryn to win (65%, odds 1.70 – longer than our fair 1.54, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Deportivo Madryn 1–0 Ciudad de Bolívar. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Deportivo Madryn65%fair 1.54 · @1.70

Draw23%fair 4.31 · @3.10

Ciudad de Bolívar12%fair 8.41 · @5.50

2.02Expected goals

1.55Deportivo Madryn xG

0.47Ciudad de Bolívar xG

43%Both score

33%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–021%

2–016%

0–013%

1–110%

3–08%

2–18%

From our goals model: Deportivo Madryn 1.5 – 0.5 Ciudad de Bolívar expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Deportivo Madryn to win ✓	65%	1.54	1.70 ▲
Double chance	Deportivo Madryn or draw ✓	88%	1.13	1.14
Both teams to score	Not both teams to score ✗	57%	1.77	1.55
Draw no bet	Deportivo Madryn (draw no bet) ✓	85%	1.18	–
Asian handicap	Deportivo Madryn -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓	64%	1.56	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✓	60%	1.67	–
Over/under 2.5 goals	Under 2.5 goals ✗	67%	1.49	–
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✗	85%	1.17	–
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals ✓	95%	1.06	–
First team to score	Deportivo Madryn to score first	66%	1.50	–
Half-time result	Level at half-time ✓	47%	2.12	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Deportivo Madryn / FT Deportivo Madryn ✗	39%	2.55	–
Correct score	Correct score 1–0 ✗	21%	4.87	–

Deportivo Madryn – last 6

LWWDWW

30 Aug	@ Almirante Brown	0–1	L
25 Aug	vs Godoy Cruz	2–0	W
21 Aug	vs Atletico Mitre	4–0	W
16 Aug	@ San Martin Tucuman	2–2	D
8 Aug	@ CA Estudiantes	1–0	W
2 Aug	vs All Boys	2–0	W

1.8Scored / game

0.5Conceded / game

17%Both scored

33%Over 2.5

Ciudad de Bolívar – last 6

WDLLLW

29 Aug	vs Defensores De Belgrano	1–0	W
23 Aug	vs Racing Cordoba	1–1	D
15 Aug	@ Agropecuario	0–1	L
8 Aug	@ Almirante Brown	0–2	L
2 Aug	vs Atletico Mitre	0–2	L
25 Jul	@ CA Estudiantes	2–1	W

0.7Scored / game

1.2Conceded / game

33%Both scored

17%Over 2.5

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Godoy Cruz	36	19	9	8	+20	66
2	Ferro Carril Oeste	36	19	9	8	+7	66
3	Deportivo Moron	36	18	7	11	+16	61
4	Deportivo Madryn	36	16	12	8	+21	60
5	Colon Santa Fe	36	16	12	8	+18	60
6	Almirante Brown	36	13	12	11	+4	51
7	Ciudad de Bolívar	36	13	12	11	-3	51
8	CA Estudiantes	36	13	10	13	0	49
9	Chaco For Ever	36	12	10	14	+2	46
10	Los Andes	36	9	16	11	+1	43
11	All Boys	36	8	17	11	-8	41
12	San Telmo	36	10	11	15	-11	41
13	Atletico Mitre	36	8	16	12	-11	40
14	Racing Cordoba	36	10	10	16	-13	40
15	Defensores De Belgrano	36	8	15	13	-9	39
16	Central Norte	36	7	17	12	-9	38
17	Acassuso	36	8	11	17	-10	35
18	San Miguel	36	6	15	15	-15	33

Team

Pts

+20

+16

+21

+18

-3

-8

-11

-11

-13

Defensores De Belgrano

-9

Central Norte

-9

Acassuso

-10

San Miguel

-15

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Deportivo Madryn vs Ciudad de Bolívar?

Our pick is Deportivo Madryn to win with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.70.

Who will win Deportivo Madryn vs Ciudad de Bolívar?

On our numbers Deportivo Madryn have a 65% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Ciudad de Bolívar 12%.

How many goals will there be in Deportivo Madryn vs Ciudad de Bolívar?

We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 33% likely and both teams score 43% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Deportivo Madryn vs Ciudad de Bolívar?

Our predicted score is Deportivo Madryn 1–0 Ciudad de Bolívar, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.

When is Deportivo Madryn vs Ciudad de Bolívar?

Deportivo Madryn vs Ciudad de Bolívar (Primera Nacional) kicks off on Sunday 6 September 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Abel Sastre.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

Deportivo Madryn v Ciudad de Bolívar: numbers & prediction