Good pick · fair odds 1.63 · bookmaker 1.91 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.91Odds
Picks by market
ResultTristan Suarez to win ✗61% · @1.91
Double chanceTristan Suarez or draw ✓88% · @1.18
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓54% · @1.53
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓71% · fair 1.40
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗22% · fair 4.56
Tristan Suarez vs Atlanta: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Monday 21 September the Primera Nacional brings Tristan Suarez against Atlanta at Estadio 20 de Octubre. Kick-off: 19:00 WAT. In the table, Tristan Suarez are 1st, leading the league, on 64 points after 36 matches; Atlanta are 2nd (among the top four) with 62. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Tristan Suarez, last 5: DDWLW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with San Martin S.J., away. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.5 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Atlanta, last 5: WWLLW Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Club Atlético Güemes, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 2 lost from 4. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Tristan Suarez 1.4 xG, Atlanta 0.5 xG – a total near 1.9. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 71%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Tristan Suarez 61%, draw 27%, Atlanta 12%.
Lower-risk option: Tristan Suarez or draw (88%) at 1.18.
GG/NG: NG (54%) at 1.53.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Tristan Suarez to win (61%, odds 1.91 – longer than our fair 1.63, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Tristan Suarez 1–0 Atlanta. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Tristan Suarez61%fair 1.63 · @1.91
Draw27%fair 3.72 · @2.90
Atlanta12%fair 8.39 · @4.50
1.86Expected goals
1.41Tristan Suarez xG
0.45Atlanta xG
46%Both score
29%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–022%
0–016%
2–015%
1–110%
3–07%
0–17%
From our goals model: Tristan Suarez 1.4 – 0.5 Atlanta expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Tristan Suarez to win✗
61%
1.63
1.91 ▲
Double chance
Tristan Suarez or draw✓
88%
1.14
1.18
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
54%
1.84
1.53
Draw no bet
Tristan Suarez (draw no bet)
84%
1.19
–
Asian handicap
Tristan Suarez -0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
61%
1.64
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
55%
1.80
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
71%
1.40
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
88%
1.13
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
96%
1.04
–
First team to score
Tristan Suarez to score first✗
64%
1.56
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
50%
2.01
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Tristan Suarez / FT Tristan Suarez✗
37%
2.73
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
22%
4.56
–
Recent results
Tristan Suarez – last 6
DDWLWW
16 Sep
@ San Martin S.J.
0–0
D
12 Sep
@ Gimnasia Y Tiro
0–0
D
5 Sep
vs San Martin Tucuman
2–0
W
29 Aug
@ Atletico DE Rafaela
1–2
L
22 Aug
vs Agropecuario
2–0
W
16 Aug
vs Almirante Brown
3–1
W
1.3Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Atlanta – last 6
WWLLWL
12 Sep
vs Club Atlético Güemes
2–0
W
5 Sep
@ Chacarita Juniors
1–0
W
30 Aug
vs San Martin S.J.
0–1
L
26 Aug
@ Patronato
0–2
L
22 Aug
@ Nueva Chicago
1–0
W
15 Aug
@ Ferro Carril Oeste
1–3
L
0.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Tristan Suarez and Atlanta.
What is the prediction for Tristan Suarez vs Atlanta?
Our pick is Tristan Suarez to win with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.91.
Who will win Tristan Suarez vs Atlanta?
On our numbers Tristan Suarez have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Atlanta 12%.
How many goals will there be in Tristan Suarez vs Atlanta?
We expect about 1.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 29% likely and both teams score 46% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Tristan Suarez vs Atlanta?
Our predicted score is Tristan Suarez 1–0 Atlanta, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.9 goals in total.
When is Tristan Suarez vs Atlanta?
Tristan Suarez vs Atlanta (Primera Nacional) kicks off on Monday 21 September 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio 20 de Octubre.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
