Acassuso v Ciudad de Bolívar Prediction & Expected Goals (3 Oct) – Odds, Stats, Pick

Picks by market

ResultAcassuso to win ✗42% · @2.30

Double chanceEither team to win ✓74% · @1.40

Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗50% · @2.20

GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓74% · fair 1.35

Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗6% · fair 15.59

Acassuso vs Ciudad de Bolívar: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Acassuso welcome Ciudad de Bolívar to La Quema Stadium for a Primera Nacional fixture on Saturday 3 October (19:00 WAT). In the table, Acassuso are 17th, in the drop zone, on 35 points after 36 matches; Ciudad de Bolívar are 7th (upper half) with 51. There are 16 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Acassuso, last 5: WWLLD Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Almirante Brown, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Ciudad de Bolívar, last 5: WLDLW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Chaco For Ever, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Acassuso 1.0 xG, Ciudad de Bolívar 0.8 xG – a total near 1.8. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 74%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.

Markets worth a look

1X2 according to our numbers – Acassuso 42%, draw 26%, Ciudad de Bolívar 32%.
GG/NG: GG (50%) at 2.20.
Price worth noting: Ciudad de Bolívar to win @3.50 – the bookmaker implies 29%, our ratings say 32%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (50%, odds 2.20 – longer than our fair 1.99, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Acassuso 1–1 Ciudad de Bolívar. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Acassuso42%fair 2.40 · @2.30

Draw26%fair 3.81 · @2.70

Ciudad de Bolívar32%fair 3.11 · @3.50

1.77Expected goals

0.97Acassuso xG

0.80Ciudad de Bolívar xG

50%Both score

26%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

0–017%

1–017%

0–114%

1–113%

2–08%

2–16%

From our goals model: Acassuso 1.0 – 0.8 Ciudad de Bolívar expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Acassuso to win ✗	42%	2.40	2.30
Double chance	Either team to win ✓	74%	1.36	1.40
Both teams to score	Both teams to score ✗	50%	1.99	2.20 ▲
Draw no bet	Acassuso (draw no bet) ✗	56%	1.77	–
Asian handicap	Ciudad de Bolívar +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓	62%	1.62	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✗	53%	1.89	–
Over/under 2.5 goals	Under 2.5 goals ✓	74%	1.35	–
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✓	90%	1.12	–
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals ✓	97%	1.04	–
First team to score	Acassuso to score first ✗	46%	2.20	–
Half-time result	Level at half-time ✓	53%	1.88	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Draw / FT Draw ✗	25%	4.04	–
Correct score	Correct score 2–1 ✗	6%	15.59	–

Acassuso – last 6

WWLLDL

27 Sep	@ Almirante Brown	1–0	W
19 Sep	vs Atletico Mitre	2–0	W
13 Sep	@ CA Estudiantes	0–1	L
5 Sep	vs All Boys	0–1	L
31 Aug	@ Los Andes	0–0	D
26 Aug	vs San Telmo	1–2	L

0.7Scored / game

0.7Conceded / game

17%Both scored

17%Over 2.5

Ciudad de Bolívar – last 6

WLDLWD

26 Sep	vs Chaco For Ever	2–1	W
19 Sep	@ Ferro Carril Oeste	0–1	L
12 Sep	vs Central Norte	0–0	D
6 Sep	@ Deportivo Madryn	1–3	L
29 Aug	vs Defensores De Belgrano	1–0	W
23 Aug	vs Racing Cordoba	1–1	D

0.8Scored / game

1.0Conceded / game

50%Both scored

33%Over 2.5

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Godoy Cruz	36	19	9	8	+20	66
2	Ferro Carril Oeste	36	19	9	8	+7	66
3	Deportivo Moron	36	18	7	11	+16	61
4	Deportivo Madryn	36	16	12	8	+21	60
5	Colon Santa Fe	36	16	12	8	+18	60
6	Almirante Brown	36	13	12	11	+4	51
7	Ciudad de Bolívar	36	13	12	11	-3	51
8	CA Estudiantes	36	13	10	13	0	49
9	Chaco For Ever	36	12	10	14	+2	46
10	Los Andes	36	9	16	11	+1	43
11	All Boys	36	8	17	11	-8	41
12	San Telmo	36	10	11	15	-11	41
13	Atletico Mitre	36	8	16	12	-11	40
14	Racing Cordoba	36	10	10	16	-13	40
15	Defensores De Belgrano	36	8	15	13	-9	39
16	Central Norte	36	7	17	12	-9	38
17	Acassuso	36	8	11	17	-10	35
18	San Miguel	36	6	15	15	-15	33

Team

Pts

+20

+16

+21

+18

-3

-8

-11

-11

-13

Defensores De Belgrano

-9

Central Norte

-9

Acassuso

-10

San Miguel

-15

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Acassuso vs Ciudad de Bolívar?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 50% chance, at bookmaker odds of 2.20.

Who will win Acassuso vs Ciudad de Bolívar?

On our numbers Acassuso have a 42% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Ciudad de Bolívar 32%.

How many goals will there be in Acassuso vs Ciudad de Bolívar?

We expect about 1.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 26% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Acassuso vs Ciudad de Bolívar?

Our predicted score is Acassuso 1–1 Ciudad de Bolívar, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.8 goals in total.

When is Acassuso vs Ciudad de Bolívar?

Acassuso vs Ciudad de Bolívar (Primera Nacional) kicks off on Saturday 3 October 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at La Quema Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

Acassuso v Ciudad de Bolívar: numbers & prediction