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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Tristan Suarez v Quilmes: numbers & prediction

Primera Nacional · Argentina · Estadio 20 de Octubre

Tristan Suarez

WDDDW
0–0
FT

Quilmes

WLWLL
Tristan Suarez 45%Draw 27%Quilmes 28% Expected goals 0.99 – 0.69
55%
Betarazi pick

Not both teams to score

Fair pick · fair odds 1.83 · bookmaker 1.50 · Won ✓

4/10Rating
1.50Odds

Picks by market

ResultTristan Suarez to win ✗45% · @2.30
Double chanceEither team to win ✗73% · @1.44
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓55% · @1.50
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.31
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗18% · fair 5.44

Tristan Suarez vs Quilmes: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Tristan Suarez welcome Quilmes to Estadio 20 de Octubre for a Primera Nacional fixture on Saturday 3 October (19:00 WAT). In the table, Tristan Suarez are 1st, leading the league, on 64 points after 36 matches; Quilmes are 13th (lower half) with 45. There are 19 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Tristan Suarez, last 5: WDDDW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Midland, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 5 clean sheets in that run.

Quilmes, last 5: WLWLL Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Club Atlético Güemes, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.

Momentum favours Tristan Suarez, collecting 1.5 points per game to 1.0 for Quilmes.

Head to head

When they last met (17 May 2026) it ended Quilmes 0–1 Tristan Suarez.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Tristan Suarez 1.0 xG, Quilmes 0.7 xG – a total near 1.7. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 76%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Tristan Suarez 45%, draw 27%, Quilmes 28%.
  • GG/NG: NG (55%) at 1.50.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Not both teams to score (55%, odds 1.50). Most likely score in line with that pick: Tristan Suarez 0–0 Quilmes. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Tristan Suarez45%fair 2.23 · @2.30
Draw27%fair 3.75 · @2.62
Quilmes28%fair 3.51 · @3.60
1.68Expected goals
0.99Tristan Suarez xG
0.69Quilmes xG
45%Both score
24%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

0–019%
1–018%
0–113%
1–113%
2–09%
2–16%

From our goals model: Tristan Suarez 1.0 – 0.7 Quilmes expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultTristan Suarez to win ✗45%2.232.30
Double chanceEither team to win ✗73%1.361.44 ▲
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✓55%1.831.50
Draw no betTristan Suarez (draw no bet)61%1.64–
Asian handicapQuilmes +1 (Asian handicap) ✓79%1.27–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗50%2.00–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓76%1.31–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓91%1.10–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓97%1.03–
First team to scoreTristan Suarez to score first ✗48%2.09–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓54%1.84–
Half-time / full-timeHT Draw / FT Draw ✓26%3.85–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗18%5.44–

Recent results

Tristan Suarez – last 6

WDDDWL
27 Sep@ Midland1–0W
21 Sepvs Atlanta0–0D
16 Sep@ San Martin S.J.0–0D
12 Sep@ Gimnasia Y Tiro0–0D
5 Sepvs San Martin Tucuman2–0W
29 Aug@ Atletico DE Rafaela1–2L
0.7Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Quilmes – last 6

WLWLLL
26 Sepvs Club Atlético Güemes2–0W
20 Sep@ Chacarita Juniors0–3L
12 Sepvs San Martin S.J.1–0W
7 Sep@ Nueva Chicago0–1L
30 Augvs Temperley0–1L
23 Aug@ Deportivo Maipu0–1L
0.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Head to head

17 May 2026Quilmes v Tristan Suarez0–1
Tristan Suarez vs Quilmes head-to-head page →

Primera Nacional table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Tristan Suarez3616164+1864
2Atlanta3619512+862
3Temperley3616137+1261
4Gimnasia Jujuy36161010+458
5Midland36151011+1455
6Deportivo Maipu36141012+952
7Colegiales36141012+452
8Gimnasia Y Tiro36141012+252
9San Martin S.J.36131211+651
10San Martin Tucuman36111411+247
11Atletico DE Rafaela36121113-647
12Agropecuario36121014-846
13Quilmes3612915+345
14Chacarita Juniors3612618-642
15Almagro3611916-1142
16Patronato3671712-638
17Nueva Chicago3691017-1137
18Club Atlético Güemes366921-3427

More Primera Nacional predictions

League hub
FT Acassuso0 Ciudad de Bolívar1 142%2.30X26%2.70232%3.50 1.0–0.8xG GGBoth teams to score 50%@2.20 ✗
FT Colon Santa Fe1 CA Estudiantes0 143%2.00X25%2.90232%4.00 1.1–0.8xG NGNot both teams to score 51%@1.50 ✓
FT Deportivo Moron2 All Boys1 162%1.91X25%2.90213%4.40 1.5–0.5xG 1Deportivo Moron to win 62%@1.91 ✓
FT Temperley2 Gimnasia Jujuy1 144%2.05X24%3.00231%3.70 1.3–1.0xG GGBoth teams to score 52%@2.00 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Tristan Suarez vs Quilmes?

Our pick is Not both teams to score with a 55% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.

Who will win Tristan Suarez vs Quilmes?

On our numbers Tristan Suarez have a 45% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Quilmes 28%.

How many goals will there be in Tristan Suarez vs Quilmes?

We expect about 1.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 24% likely and both teams score 45% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Tristan Suarez vs Quilmes?

Our predicted score is Tristan Suarez 0–0 Quilmes, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.7 goals in total.

When is Tristan Suarez vs Quilmes?

Tristan Suarez vs Quilmes (Primera Nacional) kicks off on Saturday 3 October 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio 20 de Octubre.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.