Club Atlético Güemes v Almagro Prediction & Expected Goals (18 Oct) – Odds, Stats, Pick

Picks by market

ResultAlmagro to win ✗68% · @1.33

Double chanceAlmagro or draw ✗89% · @1.06

Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗54% · @1.44

GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓81% · fair 1.23

Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗18% · fair 5.42

Club Atlético Güemes vs Almagro: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

21:00 WAT, Sunday 18 October: Club Atlético Güemes v Almagro in the Primera Nacional, played at Estadio Arturo Jiya Miranda. In the table, Club Atlético Güemes are 18th, in the drop zone, on 27 points after 36 matches; Almagro are 15th (lower half) with 42. There are 15 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Club Atlético Güemes, last 5: LLLLL Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Patronato, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.2 goals a game.

Almagro, last 5: WWLLD Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Chacarita Juniors, at home. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Almagro, collecting 1.2 points per game to 0.0 for Club Atlético Güemes.

Head to head

When they last met (31 May 2026) it ended Almagro 2–0 Club Atlético Güemes.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Club Atlético Güemes 0.5 xG, Almagro 1.7 xG – a total near 2.2. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 39%, GG 46%.

Markets worth a look

1X2 according to our numbers – Club Atlético Güemes 11%, draw 21%, Almagro 68%.
GG/NG: NG (54%) at 1.44.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Almagro to win (68%, odds 1.33). Most likely score in line with that pick: Club Atlético Güemes 0–1 Almagro. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Club Atlético Güemes11%fair 9.32 · @10.00

Draw21%fair 4.68 · @4.20

Almagro68%fair 1.47 · @1.33

2.24Expected goals

0.51Club Atlético Güemes xG

1.73Almagro xG

46%Both score

39%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

0–118%

0–216%

0–011%

1–19%

0–39%

1–28%

From our goals model: Club Atlético Güemes 0.5 – 1.7 Almagro expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Almagro to win ✗	68%	1.47	1.33
Double chance	Almagro or draw ✗	89%	1.12	1.06
Both teams to score	Not both teams to score ✗	54%	1.85	1.44
Draw no bet	Almagro (draw no bet) ✗	86%	1.16	–
Asian handicap	Almagro -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✗	67%	1.48	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✓	66%	1.53	–
Over/under 2.5 goals	Under 2.5 goals ✗	61%	1.63	–
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✓	81%	1.23	–
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals ✓	92%	1.08	–
First team to score	Almagro to score first	69%	1.45	–
Half-time result	Almagro ahead at half-time ✗	46%	2.18	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Almagro / FT Almagro ✗	42%	2.35	–
Correct score	Correct score 0–1 ✗	18%	5.42	–

Club Atlético Güemes – last 6

LLLLLL

11 Oct	@ Patronato	0–2	L
4 Oct	vs Colegiales	0–1	L
26 Sep	@ Quilmes	0–2	L
20 Sep	vs Midland	0–2	L
12 Sep	@ Atlanta	0–2	L
6 Sep	vs Gimnasia Y Tiro	1–3	L

0.2Scored / game

2.0Conceded / game

17%Both scored

17%Over 2.5

Almagro – last 6

WWLLDL

10 Oct	vs Chacarita Juniors	2–1	W
4 Oct	@ San Martin S.J.	2–1	W
27 Sep	vs Nueva Chicago	0–1	L
19 Sep	@ Temperley	1–3	L
12 Sep	vs Deportivo Maipu	2–2	D
6 Sep	vs Gimnasia Jujuy	1–2	L

1.3Scored / game

1.7Conceded / game

83%Both scored

83%Over 2.5

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Tristan Suarez	36	16	16	4	+18	64
2	Atlanta	36	19	5	12	+8	62
3	Temperley	36	16	13	7	+12	61
4	Gimnasia Jujuy	36	16	10	10	+4	58
5	Midland	36	15	10	11	+14	55
6	Deportivo Maipu	36	14	10	12	+9	52
7	Colegiales	36	14	10	12	+4	52
8	Gimnasia Y Tiro	36	14	10	12	+2	52
9	San Martin S.J.	36	13	12	11	+6	51
10	San Martin Tucuman	36	11	14	11	+2	47
11	Atletico DE Rafaela	36	12	11	13	-6	47
12	Agropecuario	36	12	10	14	-8	46
13	Quilmes	36	12	9	15	+3	45
14	Chacarita Juniors	36	12	6	18	-6	42
15	Almagro	36	11	9	16	-11	42
16	Patronato	36	7	17	12	-6	38
17	Nueva Chicago	36	9	10	17	-11	37
18	Club Atlético Güemes	36	6	9	21	-34	27

Team

Pts

+18

+12

+14

-6

-8

-6

-11

-6

-11

-34

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Club Atlético Güemes vs Almagro?

Our pick is Almagro to win with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.

Who will win Club Atlético Güemes vs Almagro?

On our numbers Club Atlético Güemes have a 11% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Almagro 68%.

How many goals will there be in Club Atlético Güemes vs Almagro?

We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 39% likely and both teams score 46% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Club Atlético Güemes vs Almagro?

Our predicted score is Club Atlético Güemes 0–1 Almagro, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.

When is Club Atlético Güemes vs Almagro?

Club Atlético Güemes vs Almagro (Primera Nacional) kicks off on Sunday 18 October 2026 at 21:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Arturo Jiya Miranda.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

Club Atlético Güemes v Almagro: numbers & prediction