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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Deportivo Moron v Atletico Mitre: numbers & prediction

Primera Nacional · Argentina · Estadio Nuevo Francisco Urbano
0–2
FT
Deportivo Moron 67%Draw 22%Atletico Mitre 11% Expected goals 1.77 – 0.55
67%
Betarazi pick

Deportivo Moron to win

Good pick · fair odds 1.49 · bookmaker 1.57 · Lost ✗

6/10Rating
1.57Odds

Picks by market

ResultDeportivo Moron to win ✗67% · @1.57
Double chanceDeportivo Moron or draw ✗89% · @1.10
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓54% · @1.44
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓80% · fair 1.26
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗17% · fair 5.75

Deportivo Moron vs Atletico Mitre: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Atletico Mitre travel to face Deportivo Moron on Sunday 18 October in the Primera Nacional, with Estadio Nuevo Francisco Urbano the venue – the ball rolls at 19:00 WAT. In the table, Deportivo Moron are 3rd, among the top four, on 61 points after 36 matches; Atletico Mitre are 13th (lower half) with 40. There are 21 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Deportivo Moron, last 5: LWLLW Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to CA Estudiantes, away. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.

Atletico Mitre, last 5: DWLLD Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Colon Santa Fe, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.3 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.

Momentum favours Deportivo Moron, collecting 1.5 points per game to 1.0 for Atletico Mitre.

Head to head

When they last met (31 May 2026) it ended Atletico Mitre 1–3 Deportivo Moron.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Deportivo Moron 1.8 xG, Atletico Mitre 0.5 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 41%, GG 46%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Deportivo Moron 67%, draw 22%, Atletico Mitre 11%.
  • GG/NG: NG (54%) at 1.44.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Deportivo Moron to win (67%, odds 1.57 – longer than our fair 1.49, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Deportivo Moron 1–0 Atletico Mitre. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Deportivo Moron67%fair 1.49 · @1.57
Draw22%fair 4.47 · @3.30
Atletico Mitre11%fair 9.32 · @6.50
2.32Expected goals
1.77Deportivo Moron xG
0.55Atletico Mitre xG
46%Both score
41%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–017%
2–015%
0–010%
1–110%
3–09%
2–18%

From our goals model: Deportivo Moron 1.8 – 0.5 Atletico Mitre expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultDeportivo Moron to win ✗67%1.491.57 ▲
Double chanceDeportivo Moron or draw ✗89%1.121.10
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✓54%1.861.44
Draw no betDeportivo Moron (draw no bet) ✗86%1.16–
Asian handicapDeportivo Moron -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✗67%1.49–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓67%1.48–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓59%1.69–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓80%1.26–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓91%1.09–
First team to scoreDeportivo Moron to score first ✗69%1.45–
Half-time resultDeportivo Moron ahead at half-time ✗46%2.17–
Half-time / full-timeHT Deportivo Moron / FT Deportivo Moron ✗42%2.36–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗17%5.75–

Recent results

Deportivo Moron – last 6

LWLLWW
11 Oct@ CA Estudiantes0–2L
3 Octvs All Boys2–1W
27 Sep@ Los Andes1–2L
20 Sepvs Godoy Cruz1–2L
13 Sep@ Racing Cordoba2–1W
5 Sep@ Colon Santa Fe2–1W
1.3Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Atletico Mitre – last 6

DWLLDD
11 Octvs Colon Santa Fe0–0D
3 Oct@ San Miguel2–0W
27 Sepvs San Telmo0–2L
19 Sep@ Acassuso0–2L
13 Sepvs Chaco For Ever0–0D
5 Sep@ Ferro Carril Oeste0–0D
0.3Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5

Head to head

31 May 2026Atletico Mitre v Deportivo Moron1–3
Deportivo Moron vs Atletico Mitre head-to-head page →

Primera Nacional table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Godoy Cruz361998+2066
2Ferro Carril Oeste361998+766
3Deportivo Moron3618711+1661
4Deportivo Madryn3616128+2160
5Colon Santa Fe3616128+1860
6Almirante Brown36131211+451
7Ciudad de Bolívar36131211-351
8CA Estudiantes36131013049
9Chaco For Ever36121014+246
10Los Andes3691611+143
11All Boys3681711-841
12San Telmo36101115-1141
13Atletico Mitre3681612-1140
14Racing Cordoba36101016-1340
15Defensores De Belgrano3681513-939
16Central Norte3671712-938
17Acassuso3681117-1035
18San Miguel3661515-1533

More Primera Nacional predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Deportivo Moron vs Atletico Mitre?

Our pick is Deportivo Moron to win with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.57.

Who will win Deportivo Moron vs Atletico Mitre?

On our numbers Deportivo Moron have a 67% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Atletico Mitre 11%.

How many goals will there be in Deportivo Moron vs Atletico Mitre?

We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 41% likely and both teams score 46% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Deportivo Moron vs Atletico Mitre?

Our predicted score is Deportivo Moron 1–0 Atletico Mitre, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.

When is Deportivo Moron vs Atletico Mitre?

Deportivo Moron vs Atletico Mitre (Primera Nacional) kicks off on Sunday 18 October 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Nuevo Francisco Urbano.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.