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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Almagro v Tristan Suarez: numbers & prediction

Primera Nacional · Argentina · Estadio Tres de Febrero

Almagro

LWWLL
1–1
FT
Almagro 16%Draw 24%Tristan Suarez 59% Expected goals 0.51 – 1.33
71%
Betarazi pick

Under 2.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.42 · bookmaker 1.36 · Won ✓

7/10Rating
1.36Odds

Picks by market

ResultTristan Suarez to win ✗59% · @1.70
Double chanceTristan Suarez or draw ✓84% · @1.14
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗54% · @1.40
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓71% · @1.36
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗21% · fair 4.75

Almagro vs Tristan Suarez: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Tristan Suarez travel to face Almagro on Saturday 24 October in the Primera Nacional, with Estadio Tres de Febrero the venue – the ball rolls at 19:30 WAT. In the table, Almagro are 15th, lower half, on 42 points after 36 matches; Tristan Suarez are 1st (leading the league) with 64. There are 22 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Almagro, last 5: LWWLL Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Club Atlético Güemes, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.

Tristan Suarez, last 5: WDDWD Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Patronato, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.3 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 6 clean sheets in that run.

Momentum favours Tristan Suarez, collecting 1.7 points per game to 1.2 for Almagro.

Head to head

When they last met (6 Jun 2026) it ended Tristan Suarez 0–0 Almagro.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Almagro 0.5 xG, Tristan Suarez 1.3 xG – a total near 1.8. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 71%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Almagro 16%, draw 24%, Tristan Suarez 59%.
  • Lower-risk option: Tristan Suarez or draw (84%) at 1.14.
  • GG/NG: NG (54%) at 1.40.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (71%, odds 1.36). Most likely score in line with that pick: Almagro 0–1 Tristan Suarez. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Almagro16%fair 6.10 · @5.50
Draw24%fair 4.10 · @3.25
Tristan Suarez59%fair 1.69 · @1.70
1.85Expected goals
0.51Almagro xG
1.33Tristan Suarez xG
46%Both score
29%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

0–121%
0–016%
0–214%
1–111%
1–08%
1–27%

From our goals model: Almagro 0.5 – 1.3 Tristan Suarez expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultTristan Suarez to win ✗59%1.691.70
Double chanceTristan Suarez or draw ✓84%1.201.14
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✗54%1.841.40
Draw no betTristan Suarez (draw no bet)78%1.28–
Asian handicapAlmagro +1 (Asian handicap) ✓60%1.65–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓56%1.781.62
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓71%1.421.36
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓87%1.151.11
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓95%1.051.02
First team to scoreTristan Suarez to score first61%1.65–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓50%1.98–
Half-time / full-timeHT Tristan Suarez / FT Tristan Suarez ✗34%2.96–
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗21%4.75–

Recent results

Almagro – last 6

LWWLLD
18 Oct@ Club Atlético Güemes1–2L
10 Octvs Chacarita Juniors2–1W
4 Oct@ San Martin S.J.2–1W
27 Sepvs Nueva Chicago0–1L
19 Sep@ Temperley1–3L
12 Sepvs Deportivo Maipu2–2D
1.3Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Tristan Suarez – last 6

WDDWDD
17 Octvs Patronato1–0W
10 Oct@ Colegiales0–0D
3 Octvs Quilmes0–0D
27 Sep@ Midland1–0W
21 Sepvs Atlanta0–0D
16 Sep@ San Martin S.J.0–0D
0.3Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5

Head to head

6 Jun 2026Tristan Suarez v Almagro0–0
Almagro vs Tristan Suarez head-to-head page →

Primera Nacional table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Tristan Suarez3616164+1864
2Atlanta3619512+862
3Temperley3616137+1261
4Gimnasia Jujuy36161010+458
5Midland36151011+1455
6Deportivo Maipu36141012+952
7Colegiales36141012+452
8Gimnasia Y Tiro36141012+252
9San Martin S.J.36131211+651
10San Martin Tucuman36111411+247
11Atletico DE Rafaela36121113-647
12Agropecuario36121014-846
13Quilmes3612915+345
14Chacarita Juniors3612618-642
15Almagro3611916-1142
16Patronato3671712-638
17Nueva Chicago3691017-1137
18Club Atlético Güemes366921-3427

More Primera Nacional predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Almagro vs Tristan Suarez?

Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 71% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.36.

Who will win Almagro vs Tristan Suarez?

On our numbers Almagro have a 16% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Tristan Suarez 59%.

How many goals will there be in Almagro vs Tristan Suarez?

We expect about 1.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 29% likely and both teams score 46% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Almagro vs Tristan Suarez?

Our predicted score is Almagro 0–1 Tristan Suarez, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.8 goals in total.

When is Almagro vs Tristan Suarez?

Almagro vs Tristan Suarez (Primera Nacional) kicks off on Saturday 24 October 2026 at 19:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Tres de Febrero.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.