Value bet: San Martin Tucuman to win @ 3.80 – our chance 33% vs 26% implied by the price (edge +25%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultQuilmes to win ✓43% · @2.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.36
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓51% · @2.05
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗69% · fair 1.44
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓7% · fair 14.00
Quilmes vs San Martin Tucuman: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Quilmes welcome San Martin Tucuman to Estadio Centenario Ciudad de Quilmes for a Primera Nacional fixture on Saturday 24 October (20:00 WAT). In the table, Quilmes are 13th, lower half, on 45 points after 36 matches; San Martin Tucuman are 10th (lower half) with 47. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Quilmes, last 5: LLDWL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Atletico DE Rafaela, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
San Martin Tucuman, last 5: WLWDL Their latest outing: 3–2 win over Midland, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Momentum favours San Martin Tucuman, collecting 1.7 points per game to 1.2 for Quilmes.
Head to head
When they last met (7 Jun 2026) it ended San Martin Tucuman 0–0 Quilmes.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Quilmes 1.1 xG, San Martin Tucuman 0.9 xG – a total near 1.9. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 69%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Quilmes 43%, draw 24%, San Martin Tucuman 33%.
GG/NG: GG (51%) at 2.05.
Price worth noting: San Martin Tucuman to win @3.80 – the bookmaker implies 26%, our ratings say 33%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (51%, odds 2.05 – longer than our fair 1.98, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Quilmes 1–1 San Martin Tucuman. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Quilmes43%fair 2.32 · @2.00
Draw24%fair 4.14 · @3.00
San Martin Tucuman33%fair 3.05 · @3.80
1.94Expected goals
1.07Quilmes xG
0.87San Martin Tucuman xG
51%Both score
31%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–015%
0–014%
1–113%
0–113%
2–08%
2–17%
From our goals model: Quilmes 1.1 – 0.9 San Martin Tucuman expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Quilmes vs San Martin Tucuman?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 51% chance, at bookmaker odds of 2.05.
Who will win Quilmes vs San Martin Tucuman?
On our numbers Quilmes have a 43% chance of winning, the draw 24% and San Martin Tucuman 33%.
How many goals will there be in Quilmes vs San Martin Tucuman?
We expect about 1.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 31% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Quilmes vs San Martin Tucuman?
Our predicted score is Quilmes 1–1 San Martin Tucuman, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.9 goals in total.
When is Quilmes vs San Martin Tucuman?
Quilmes vs San Martin Tucuman (Primera Nacional) kicks off on Saturday 24 October 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Centenario Ciudad de Quilmes.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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