Atletico DE Rafaela v Patronato Prediction & Expected Goals (31 Oct) – Odds, Stats, Pick

Picks by market

ResultPatronato to win ✗38% · @2.45

Double chanceEither team to win ✗76% · @1.35

Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗50% · @2.20

GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓72% · fair 1.38

Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗6% · fair 16.12

Atletico DE Rafaela vs Patronato: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Atletico DE Rafaela welcome Patronato to Estadio Nuevo Monumental for a Primera Nacional fixture on Saturday 31 October (21:00 WAT). In the table, Atletico DE Rafaela are 11th, lower half, on 47 points after 36 matches; Patronato are 16th (in the drop zone) with 38.

Current form

Atletico DE Rafaela, last 5: DWLLL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Colegiales, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.

Patronato, last 5: LLWLW Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Agropecuario, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.

Head to head

When they last met (14 Jun 2026) it ended Patronato 0–0 Atletico DE Rafaela.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Atletico DE Rafaela 0.9 xG, Patronato 0.9 xG – a total near 1.8. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 72%.

Markets worth a look

1X2 according to our numbers – Atletico DE Rafaela 37%, draw 24%, Patronato 38%.
GG/NG: GG (50%) at 2.20.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (50%, odds 2.20 – longer than our fair 2.00, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Atletico DE Rafaela 1–1 Patronato. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Atletico DE Rafaela37%fair 2.67 · @2.90

Draw24%fair 4.12 · @3.00

Patronato38%fair 2.61 · @2.45

1.83Expected goals

0.91Atletico DE Rafaela xG

0.92Patronato xG

50%Both score

28%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

0–016%

0–115%

1–015%

1–113%

0–27%

2–07%

From our goals model: Atletico DE Rafaela 0.9 – 0.9 Patronato expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Patronato to win ✗	38%	2.61	2.45
Double chance	Either team to win ✗	76%	1.32	1.35
Both teams to score	Both teams to score ✗	50%	2.00	2.20 ▲
Draw no bet	Patronato (draw no bet)	51%	1.97	–
Asian handicap	Atletico DE Rafaela +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓	66%	1.52	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✗	55%	1.83	–
Over/under 2.5 goals	Under 2.5 goals ✓	72%	1.38	–
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✓	89%	1.13	–
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals ✓	96%	1.04	–
First team to score	Patronato to score first ✗	42%	2.36	–
Half-time result	Level at half-time ✓	52%	1.91	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Draw / FT Draw ✓	24%	4.17	–
Correct score	Correct score 1–2 ✗	6%	16.12	–

Atletico DE Rafaela – last 6

DWLLLW

25 Oct	@ Colegiales	1–1	D
17 Oct	vs Quilmes	1–0	W
10 Oct	@ Midland	0–4	L
4 Oct	vs Atlanta	2–3	L
27 Sep	@ Gimnasia Y Tiro	0–1	L
19 Sep	vs San Martin Tucuman	4–2	W

1.3Scored / game

1.8Conceded / game

50%Both scored

50%Over 2.5

Patronato – last 6

LLWLWD

25 Oct	vs Agropecuario	0–2	L
17 Oct	@ Tristan Suarez	0–1	L
11 Oct	vs Club Atlético Güemes	2–0	W
4 Oct	@ Chacarita Juniors	0–1	L
27 Sep	vs San Martin S.J.	3–0	W
21 Sep	@ Nueva Chicago	1–1	D

1.0Scored / game

0.8Conceded / game

17%Both scored

17%Over 2.5

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Tristan Suarez	36	16	16	4	+18	64
2	Atlanta	36	19	5	12	+8	62
3	Temperley	36	16	13	7	+12	61
4	Gimnasia Jujuy	36	16	10	10	+4	58
5	Midland	36	15	10	11	+14	55
6	Deportivo Maipu	36	14	10	12	+9	52
7	Colegiales	36	14	10	12	+4	52
8	Gimnasia Y Tiro	36	14	10	12	+2	52
9	San Martin S.J.	36	13	12	11	+6	51
10	San Martin Tucuman	36	11	14	11	+2	47
11	Atletico DE Rafaela	36	12	11	13	-6	47
12	Agropecuario	36	12	10	14	-8	46
13	Quilmes	36	12	9	15	+3	45
14	Chacarita Juniors	36	12	6	18	-6	42
15	Almagro	36	11	9	16	-11	42
16	Patronato	36	7	17	12	-6	38
17	Nueva Chicago	36	9	10	17	-11	37
18	Club Atlético Güemes	36	6	9	21	-34	27

Team

Pts

+18

+12

+14

-6

-8

-6

-11

-6

-11

-34

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Atletico DE Rafaela vs Patronato?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 50% chance, at bookmaker odds of 2.20.

Who will win Atletico DE Rafaela vs Patronato?

On our numbers Atletico DE Rafaela have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Patronato 38%.

How many goals will there be in Atletico DE Rafaela vs Patronato?

We expect about 1.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 28% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Atletico DE Rafaela vs Patronato?

Our predicted score is Atletico DE Rafaela 1–1 Patronato, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.8 goals in total.

When is Atletico DE Rafaela vs Patronato?

Atletico DE Rafaela vs Patronato (Primera Nacional) kicks off on Saturday 31 October 2026 at 21:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Nuevo Monumental.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

Atletico DE Rafaela v Patronato: numbers & prediction