Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗56% · @1.44
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓73% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗17% · fair 5.94
Municipal vs Achuapa: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
01:00 WAT, Sunday 15 February: Municipal v Achuapa in the Liga Nacional, played at Estadio Manuel Felipe Carrera. In the table, Municipal are 2nd, among the top four, on 38 points after 22 matches; Achuapa are 12th (in the drop zone) with 19. There are 19 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Municipal 2.0 xG, Achuapa 0.5 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 48%, GG 44%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Municipal 72%, draw 19%, Achuapa 9%.
GG/NG: NG (56%) at 1.44.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (73%, odds 1.36). Most likely score in line with that pick: Municipal 1–0 Achuapa. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Municipal72%fair 1.39 · @1.22
Draw19%fair 5.21 · @5.10
Achuapa9%fair 11.61 · @12.00
2.46Expected goals
1.96Municipal xG
0.49Achuapa xG
44%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–017%
2–017%
3–011%
0–09%
1–18%
2–18%
From our goals model: Municipal 2.0 – 0.5 Achuapa expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Municipal
Achuapa
Attack vs Liga Nacional average
+6%
-22%
Goals conceded vs average
-38%
+3%
Our expected goals here
1.82
0.44
Our own ratings from every Liga Nacional result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Municipal to win✗
72%
1.39
1.22
Double chance
Municipal or draw✓
91%
1.09
1.01
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
56%
1.79
1.44
Draw no bet
Municipal (draw no bet)
89%
1.12
–
Asian handicap
Municipal -1 (Asian handicap)✗
63%
1.59
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
73%
1.38
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
52%
1.94
1.95
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
73%
1.38
1.36
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
90%
1.11
–
First team to score
Municipal to score first✓
73%
1.37
–
Half-time result
Municipal ahead at half-time✓
50%
1.98
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Municipal / FT Municipal✗
47%
2.12
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
17%
5.94
–
Recent results
Municipal
No recent results on record.
Achuapa
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Municipal and Achuapa.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.36.
Who will win Municipal vs Achuapa?
On our numbers Municipal have a 72% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Achuapa 9%.
How many goals will there be in Municipal vs Achuapa?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 44% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Municipal vs Achuapa?
Our predicted score is Municipal 1–0 Achuapa, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Municipal vs Achuapa?
Municipal vs Achuapa (Liga Nacional) kicks off on Sunday 15 February 2026 at 01:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Manuel Felipe Carrera.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
