Guastatoya vs Cobán Imperial: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
03:00 WAT, Sunday 22 February: Guastatoya v Cobán Imperial in the Liga Nacional. In the table, Guastatoya are 7th, lower half, on 31 points after 22 matches; Cobán Imperial are 6th (upper half) with 32. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Guastatoya 1.6 xG, Cobán Imperial 0.9 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 44%, GG 52%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Guastatoya 54%, draw 25%, Cobán Imperial 21%.
Lower-risk option: Guastatoya or draw (79%) at 1.18.
GG/NG: GG (52%) at 1.93.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (77%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Guastatoya 1–0 Cobán Imperial. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Guastatoya54%fair 1.85 · @1.91
Draw25%fair 3.97 · @3.10
Cobán Imperial21%fair 4.81 · @3.90
2.48Expected goals
1.63Guastatoya xG
0.86Cobán Imperial xG
52%Both score
44%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–014%
1–112%
2–011%
2–19%
0–08%
0–17%
From our goals model: Guastatoya 1.6 – 0.9 Cobán Imperial expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Guastatoya
Cobán Imperial
Attack vs Liga Nacional average
+2%
+2%
Goals conceded vs average
-9%
+3%
Our expected goals here
1.77
0.86
Our own ratings from every Liga Nacional result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Guastatoya to win✓
54%
1.85
1.91
Double chance
Guastatoya or draw✓
79%
1.26
1.18
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
52%
1.94
1.93
Draw no bet
Guastatoya (draw no bet)✓
72%
1.38
–
Asian handicap
Cobán Imperial +1.5 (Asian handicap)✗
70%
1.43
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
69%
1.46
1.40
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
56%
1.78
1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
77%
1.30
1.20
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
89%
1.12
–
First team to score
Guastatoya to score first✓
60%
1.66
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
43%
2.32
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Guastatoya / FT Guastatoya✗
34%
2.94
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.57
–
Recent results
Guastatoya – last 2
LD
17 Feb
@ Achuapa
0–1
L
15 Feb
vs Malacateco
1–1
D
0.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Cobán Imperial – last 2
DL
18 Feb
vs Municipal
0–0
D
15 Feb
@ Aurora
0–1
L
0.0Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Guastatoya and Cobán Imperial.
What is the prediction for Guastatoya vs Cobán Imperial?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Guastatoya vs Cobán Imperial?
On our numbers Guastatoya have a 54% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Cobán Imperial 21%.
How many goals will there be in Guastatoya vs Cobán Imperial?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Guastatoya vs Cobán Imperial?
Our predicted score is Guastatoya 1–0 Cobán Imperial, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Guastatoya vs Cobán Imperial?
Guastatoya vs Cobán Imperial (Liga Nacional) kicks off on Sunday 22 February 2026 at 03:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.