Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.00 – our chance 54% vs 50% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultAntigua GFC to win ✓62% · @1.57
Double chanceAntigua GFC or draw ✓86% · @1.08
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗54% · @2.00
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.39
Antigua GFC vs Guastatoya: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
03:00 WAT, Wednesday 25 February: Antigua GFC v Guastatoya in the Liga Nacional, played at Estadio Pensativo. In the table, Antigua GFC are 5th, upper half, on 34 points after 22 matches; Guastatoya are 7th (lower half) with 31. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Antigua GFC, last 3: LWD Their latest outing: 2–4 defeat to Municipal, away. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.3 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.
Guastatoya, last 3: WLD Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Cobán Imperial, at home. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 0.7 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Antigua GFC 1.8 xG, Guastatoya 0.8 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 47%, GG 54%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Antigua GFC 62%, draw 23%, Guastatoya 14%.
GG/NG: GG (54%) at 2.00.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.00 – the bookmaker implies 50%, our ratings say 54%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (74%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Antigua GFC 1–0 Guastatoya. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Antigua GFC62%fair 1.61 · @1.57
Draw23%fair 4.26 · @3.50
Guastatoya14%fair 7.01 · @5.50
2.63Expected goals
1.84Antigua GFC xG
0.78Guastatoya xG
54%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–013%
2–012%
1–110%
2–110%
3–08%
0–07%
From our goals model: Antigua GFC 1.8 – 0.8 Guastatoya expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Antigua GFC
Guastatoya
Attack vs Liga Nacional average
+26%
+2%
Goals conceded vs average
-12%
-9%
Our expected goals here
1.91
0.83
Our own ratings from every Liga Nacional result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Antigua GFC to win✓
62%
1.61
1.57
Double chance
Antigua GFC or draw✓
86%
1.17
1.08
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
54%
1.84
2.00 ▲
Draw no bet
Antigua GFC (draw no bet)✓
81%
1.23
–
Asian handicap
Antigua GFC -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
63%
1.60
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
71%
1.40
1.35
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
53%
1.89
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
74%
1.35
1.25
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
87%
1.14
–
First team to score
Antigua GFC to score first✓
65%
1.53
–
Half-time result
Antigua GFC ahead at half-time✗
44%
2.25
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Antigua GFC / FT Antigua GFC✗
39%
2.53
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.39
–
Recent results
Antigua GFC – last 3
LWD
22 Feb
@ Municipal
2–4
L
19 Feb
vs Aurora
2–0
W
15 Feb
@ Mictlán
0–0
D
1.3Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Guastatoya – last 3
WLD
22 Feb
vs Cobán Imperial
2–0
W
17 Feb
@ Achuapa
0–1
L
15 Feb
vs Malacateco
1–1
D
1.0Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Antigua GFC and Guastatoya.
What is the prediction for Antigua GFC vs Guastatoya?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Antigua GFC vs Guastatoya?
On our numbers Antigua GFC have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Guastatoya 14%.
How many goals will there be in Antigua GFC vs Guastatoya?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Antigua GFC vs Guastatoya?
Our predicted score is Antigua GFC 1–0 Guastatoya, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Antigua GFC vs Guastatoya?
Antigua GFC vs Guastatoya (Liga Nacional) kicks off on Wednesday 25 February 2026 at 03:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Pensativo.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
