Achuapa vs Xelajú: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Achuapa welcome Xelajú to Estadio Winston Pineda for a Liga Nacional fixture on Wednesday 25 February (22:00 WAT). In the table, Achuapa are 12th, in the drop zone, on 19 points after 22 matches; Xelajú are 1st (leading the league) with 39. There are 20 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Achuapa, last 3: DWD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Malacateco, away. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 0.7 conceded per game.
Xelajú, last 3: WLW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Mixco, at home. Scoring is no problem – 2.0 a game lately.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Achuapa 1.2 xG, Xelajú 1.2 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 42%, GG 55%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Achuapa 38%, draw 29%, Xelajú 34%.
GG/NG: GG (55%) at 1.83.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (78%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Achuapa 1–1 Xelajú. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Achuapa38%fair 2.66 · @2.45
Draw29%fair 3.46 · @2.88
Xelajú34%fair 2.98 · @2.95
2.33Expected goals
1.17Achuapa xG
1.16Xelajú xG
55%Both score
42%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–011%
0–111%
0–010%
2–18%
1–28%
From our goals model: Achuapa 1.2 – 1.2 Xelajú expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Achuapa
Xelajú
Attack vs Liga Nacional average
-22%
+22%
Goals conceded vs average
+3%
-19%
Our expected goals here
1.06
1.16
Our own ratings from every Liga Nacional result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Achuapa to win✗
38%
2.66
2.45
Double chance
Either team to win✗
71%
1.41
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
55%
1.83
1.83
Draw no bet
Achuapa (draw no bet)
53%
1.89
–
Asian handicap
Xelajú +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
64%
1.56
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
67%
1.49
1.40
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
58%
1.72
1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
78%
1.28
1.22
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
91%
1.10
–
First team to score
Achuapa to score first✗
45%
2.21
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
46%
2.18
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Achuapa / FT Achuapa✗
20%
4.89
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
12.95
–
Recent results
Achuapa – last 3
DWD
21 Feb
@ Malacateco
1–1
D
17 Feb
vs Guastatoya
1–0
W
15 Feb
@ Municipal
1–1
D
1.0Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Xelajú – last 3
WLW
23 Feb
vs Mixco
2–1
W
19 Feb
@ Malacateco
0–1
L
16 Feb
vs Marquense
4–2
W
2.0Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Achuapa and Xelajú.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Achuapa vs Xelajú?
On our numbers Achuapa have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 29% and Xelajú 34%.
How many goals will there be in Achuapa vs Xelajú?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 42% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Achuapa vs Xelajú?
Our predicted score is Achuapa 1–1 Xelajú, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Achuapa vs Xelajú?
Achuapa vs Xelajú (Liga Nacional) kicks off on Wednesday 25 February 2026 at 22:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Winston Pineda.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
