Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.10 – our chance 52% vs 48% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultMixco to win ✗63% · @1.62
Double chanceMixco or draw ✓86% · @1.08
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓52% · @2.10
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗74% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.23
Mixco vs Mictlán: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Mictlán travel to face Mixco on Thursday 26 February in the Liga Nacional – the ball rolls at 22:00 WAT. In the table, Mixco are 3rd, among the top four, on 36 points after 22 matches; Mictlán are 9th (lower half) with 27.
Current form
Mictlán, last 3: WLD Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Marquense, at home. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Mixco 1.9 xG, Mictlán 0.8 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 47%, GG 52%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Mixco 63%, draw 23%, Mictlán 14%.
GG/NG: GG (52%) at 2.10.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.10 – the bookmaker implies 48%, our ratings say 52%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (71%, odds 1.40). Most likely score in line with that pick: Mixco 2–0 Mictlán. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Mixco63%fair 1.58 · @1.62
Draw23%fair 4.44 · @3.35
Mictlán14%fair 6.98 · @5.60
2.75Expected goals
1.92Mixco xG
0.83Mictlán xG
52%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–012%
2–012%
1–110%
2–110%
3–08%
0–06%
From our goals model: Mixco 1.9 – 0.8 Mictlán expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Mixco
Mictlán
Attack vs Liga Nacional average
+16%
+3%
Goals conceded vs average
+13%
+23%
Our expected goals here
2.38
1.06
Our own ratings from every Liga Nacional result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Mixco to win✗
63%
1.58
1.62
Double chance
Mixco or draw✓
86%
1.17
1.08
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
52%
1.92
2.10 ▲
Draw no bet
Mixco (draw no bet)
82%
1.23
–
Asian handicap
Mixco -0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
63%
1.58
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
71%
1.41
1.40
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
53%
1.89
1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
74%
1.35
1.20
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
86%
1.17
–
First team to score
Mixco to score first✓
65%
1.53
–
Half-time result
Mixco ahead at half-time✓
45%
2.22
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Mixco / FT Mixco✗
40%
2.49
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.23
–
Recent results
Mixco – last 2
LL
23 Feb
@ Xelajú
1–2
L
20 Feb
@ Marquense
1–2
L
1.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Mictlán – last 3
WLD
22 Feb
vs Marquense
2–1
W
20 Feb
@ Comunicaciones
1–2
L
15 Feb
vs Antigua GFC
0–0
D
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Mixco and Mictlán.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 71% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.
Who will win Mixco vs Mictlán?
On our numbers Mixco have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Mictlán 14%.
How many goals will there be in Mixco vs Mictlán?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Mixco vs Mictlán?
Our predicted score is Mixco 2–0 Mictlán, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Mixco vs Mictlán?
Mixco vs Mictlán (Liga Nacional) kicks off on Thursday 26 February 2026 at 22:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
