Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.05 – our chance 53% vs 49% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultAntigua GFC to win ✓69% · @1.40
Double chanceAntigua GFC or draw ✓89% · @1.03
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗53% · @2.05
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗74% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.96
Antigua GFC vs Achuapa: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
03:00 WAT, Thursday 5 March: Antigua GFC v Achuapa in the Liga Nacional, played at Estadio Pensativo. In the table, Antigua GFC are 5th, upper half, on 34 points after 22 matches; Achuapa are 12th (in the drop zone) with 19. There are 15 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Antigua GFC, last 5: DWLWD Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Malacateco, away. Goals for and against: 1.6 scored, 1.2 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Achuapa, last 4: DDWD Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Xelajú, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Antigua GFC 2.0 xG, Achuapa 0.6 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 50%, GG 53%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Antigua GFC 69%, draw 20%, Achuapa 11%.
GG/NG: GG (53%) at 2.05.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.05 – the bookmaker implies 49%, our ratings say 53%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (74%, odds 1.28). Most likely score in line with that pick: Antigua GFC 2–0 Achuapa. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Antigua GFC69%fair 1.46 · @1.40
Draw20%fair 4.93 · @4.10
Achuapa11%fair 8.97 · @7.50
2.66Expected goals
2.02Antigua GFC xG
0.64Achuapa xG
53%Both score
50%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–014%
1–014%
3–010%
2–19%
1–19%
0–07%
From our goals model: Antigua GFC 2.0 – 0.6 Achuapa expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Antigua GFC
Achuapa
Attack vs Liga Nacional average
+26%
-22%
Goals conceded vs average
-12%
+3%
Our expected goals here
2.16
0.63
Our own ratings from every Liga Nacional result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Antigua GFC to win✓
69%
1.46
1.40
Double chance
Antigua GFC or draw✓
89%
1.13
1.03
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
53%
1.87
2.05 ▲
Draw no bet
Antigua GFC (draw no bet)✓
86%
1.16
–
Asian handicap
Antigua GFC -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
70%
1.43
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
74%
1.36
1.28
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
50%
1.99
1.85
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
72%
1.39
1.30
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
87%
1.15
–
First team to score
Antigua GFC to score first✓
71%
1.42
–
Half-time result
Antigua GFC ahead at half-time✗
49%
2.03
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Antigua GFC / FT Antigua GFC✗
45%
2.20
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.96
–
Recent results
Antigua GFC – last 5
DWLWD
1 Mar
@ Malacateco
2–2
D
25 Feb
vs Guastatoya
2–0
W
22 Feb
@ Municipal
2–4
L
19 Feb
vs Aurora
2–0
W
15 Feb
@ Mictlán
0–0
D
1.6Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
40%Both scored
40%Over 2.5
Achuapa – last 4
DDWD
25 Feb
vs Xelajú
0–0
D
21 Feb
@ Malacateco
1–1
D
17 Feb
vs Guastatoya
1–0
W
15 Feb
@ Municipal
1–1
D
0.8Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Antigua GFC and Achuapa.
What is the prediction for Antigua GFC vs Achuapa?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Antigua GFC vs Achuapa?
On our numbers Antigua GFC have a 69% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Achuapa 11%.
How many goals will there be in Antigua GFC vs Achuapa?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Antigua GFC vs Achuapa?
Our predicted score is Antigua GFC 2–0 Achuapa, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Antigua GFC vs Achuapa?
Antigua GFC vs Achuapa (Liga Nacional) kicks off on Thursday 5 March 2026 at 03:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Pensativo.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
